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Impact of Government Expenditure on Growth: The Case of Azerbaijan

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This paper evaluates a fiscal scenario based on the assumption of a rapid scaling-up of expenditure to be followed by a rapid scaling-down in the context of Azerbaijan's current temporary oil production boom. To this end, it relies on a review of historical precedents and a neoclassical growth model. Based on both strands of analysis, the paper suggests that the evaluated fiscal scenario poses significant risks to growth sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Impact of Government Expenditure on Growth: The Case of Azerbaijan," IMF Working Papers 2008/115, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2008/115
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Emmanuel Dodzi K. Havi & Patrick Enu, 2014. "The Effect of Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy on Ghana’s Economic Growth: Which Policy Is More Potent?," International Journal of Empirical Finance, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(2), pages 61-75.
    2. Sabiroglu, Ilkin M. & Bashirli, Samad, 2012. "Input–output analysis in an oil-rich economy: The case of Azerbaijan," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 73-80.
    3. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Sabuhi Yusifov & Khatai Aliyev & Samra Talishinskaya, 2019. "The role of social and physical infrastructure spending in tradable and non-tradable growth," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 13(1), March.
    4. Mungroo, Albert & Ooft, Gavin & Tjon Kie Sim-Balker, Peggy, 2014. "Government Expenditure in Suriname: A Stimulus or Impediment to Growth," EconStor Preprints 215531, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Khatai Aliyev & Orkhan Nadirov, 2016. "How Fiscal Policy Affects Non-Oil Economic Performance in Azerbaijan?," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(3), pages 11-29, September.
    6. Khatai Aliyev & Ilkin Gasimov, 2018. "Fiscal policy implementation in Azerbaijan before, during and after the oil boom," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(1), March.
    7. Apanisile Olumuyiwa Tolulope & Okunlola Charles Olalekan, 2017. "Growth Effect of Export Promotion on Non-oil Output in Sub-Saharan Africa (1970–2014)," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 3(2), pages 139-155, November.
    8. Fakhri Hasanov & Fuad Mammadov & Nayef Al-Musehel, 2018. "The Effects of Fiscal Policy on Non-Oil Economic Growth," Economies, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-21, April.
    9. Samuel Iweriebor & Monday I. Egharevba & Abidemi C. Adegboye, 2015. "Government spending and industrial development in Nigeria: a dynamic investigation," Annals of the University of Petrosani, Economics, University of Petrosani, Romania, vol. 15(1), pages 179-190.
    10. Fakhri Hasanov, 2010. "The Impact of Real Oil Price on Real Effective Exchange Rate: The Case of Azerbaijan," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1041, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    11. Andreas G. Georgantopoulos & Anastasios D. Tsamis, 2012. "The Interrelationship between Money Supply, Prices and Government Expenditures and Economic Growth: A Causality Analysis for the Case of Cyprus," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 5(3), pages 115-128, December.
    12. Huseynov, Salman & Ahmadov, Vugar, 2014. "Azərbaycan üzrə DSÜT modeli: qiymətləndirmə və proqnozlaşdırma [A DSGE model for Azerbaijan: estimation and forecasting]," MPRA Paper 78123, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Maku, Olukayode E., 2009. "Does government spending spur economic growth in Nigeria?," MPRA Paper 17941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Hasnul, Al Gifari, 2015. "The effects of government expenditure on economic growth: the case of Malaysia," MPRA Paper 71254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Malik Cahyadin, 2016. "Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Asian-African Conference Countries, 2000-2014," GATR Journals jber112, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    16. Ruslan Aliyev, 2012. "Monetary Policy in Resource-Rich Developing Economies," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp466, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    17. Merica Pletikosić & Majda Tafra Vlahović, 2016. "Public Opinion on the Role of Committees in Environmental Impact Assessment Studies," European Journal of Social Sciences Education and Research Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 3, ejser_v3_.

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