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Inflation, Nominal Interest Rates, and the Variability of Output

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  • Mr. Bankim Chadha
  • Daniel Tsiddon

Abstract

This paper examines the distribution of output around capacity when money demand is a nonlinear function of the nominal interest rate such that nominal interest rates cannot become negative. When fluctuations in output result primarily from disturbances to the money market, the variance of output is shown to be an increasing function of the trend inflation rate. When they result from disturbances to the goods market, the variance of output is a decreasing function of the trend inflation rate. When both disturbances are significant, there exists, in general, a critical non-zero trend inflation rate that minimizes the variance of output.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Bankim Chadha & Daniel Tsiddon, 1996. "Inflation, Nominal Interest Rates, and the Variability of Output," IMF Working Papers 1996/109, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1996/109
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Takala, Kari, 1995. "The interest rate sensitivity of output in Finland," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 11/1995, Bank of Finland.
    2. Laxton, Douglas & Prasad, Eswar, 2001. "Possible effects of European Monetary Union on Switzerland," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 531-551, July.
    3. Bali, Turan G. & Thurston, Thom B., 2002. "On the efficiency of monetary policy rules with flexible prices and rational expectations," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 615-631.
    4. Wen‐Shwo Fang & Kuan‐Min Wang & Thanh‐Binh T. Nguyen, 2008. "Is Real Estate Really an Inflation Hedge? Evidence from Taiwan," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 22(2), pages 209-224, June.
    5. Takala, Kari, 1995. "The interest rate sensitivity of output in Finland," Research Discussion Papers 11/1995, Bank of Finland.
    6. Henry, Olan T. & Shields, Kalvinder, 2004. "Is there a unit root in inflation?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 481-500, September.
    7. repec:zbw:bofrdp:1995_011 is not listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; rate of inflation; price level; nominal interest rate; trend inflation rate; inflation rate rise; money demand function; long-run inflation rate influence; shock term; Inflation; Demand for money; Capacity utilization; Monetary base; Real interest rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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