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Supply Pressure and the Export-Import Performance in the Japan-U.S. Bilateral Trade

Author

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  • Yusuke Onitsuka

Abstract

The paper examines the effects of the supply pressure of the exports in the Japan-U.S. bilateral trade. A simultaneous equation approach with a Almon lag structure is adopted. Two factors of supply pressure, i.e., full-employment capacity and inventory are specified, and positively-sloped export supply functions with these two shift factors are successfully estimated. While capacity is positively correlated with exports, the inventory is often negatively correlated. It is also shown that export supply pressure is much stronger in Japan’s exports than in the U.S. exports, and that supply pressure often affects exports with a lag structure spreading over twelve quarters.

Suggested Citation

  • Yusuke Onitsuka, 1994. "Supply Pressure and the Export-Import Performance in the Japan-U.S. Bilateral Trade," IMF Working Papers 1994/053, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1994/053
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    Cited by:

    1. Karsten Staehr, 2021. "Export performance and capacity pressures in Central and Eastern Europe," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 204-217.
    2. M. Bahmani-Oskooee & Gour Goswami, 2003. "A disaggregated approach to test the J-Curve phenomenon: Japan versus her major trading partners," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 27(1), pages 102-113, March.

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