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Debt Overhang, Debt Reduction and Investment: The Case of the Philippines

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

While there is a substantial body of literature on the effects of “debt overhang” on investment in heavily-indebted countries, there is surprisingly little empirical work available on this subject. This paper tests the hypothesis that the stock of foreign debt acts as a disincentive to private investment in the specific case of the Philippines. The empirical estimates provide support for this hypothesis, particularly after 1982. The estimates indicate that a $1.3 billion debt reduction (such as the one completed through the buyback operation in early 1990) would increase investment demand by something between one half and two percentage points of GNP.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 1990. "Debt Overhang, Debt Reduction and Investment: The Case of the Philippines," IMF Working Papers 1990/077, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1990/077
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Slimani, Slah & Bakari, Sayef & Othmani, Abdelhafidh, 2015. "Croissance et Soutenabilité de la Dette Extérieure Tunisienne pour la Période 1970-2012 : Une Analyse Dynamique [Growth and Sustainability of Tunisian External Debt for the Period 1970-2012: A Dyna," MPRA Paper 80954, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. M. Badrul Haque & Charles R. Wartenberg, 1992. "Direct Effects Of Debt Overhang And Imf Programs," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), pages 30-39, March.
    3. Ibrahim, Taofik & Farah, Abdisamad, 2020. "External Debt Stock and Economic Growth in Somalia (1990-2016)," MPRA Paper 100334, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Mar 2020.
    4. Mr. Dhaneshwar Ghura & E. Murat Ucer & Mr. Martin Mühleisen & Mr. Michael T. Hadjimichael & Mr. Roger Nord, 1994. "Effects of Macroeconomic Stabilityon Growth, Savings, and Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation," IMF Working Papers 1994/098, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Luke Okafor & Joanna Tyrowicz, 2010. "Saving less when there is more foreign lending? Foreign debt and savings in developing countries," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 213-223.
    6. Ibrahim Mohammed Adamu, 2016. "Public Investment in Nigeria. Does External Debt Matter?," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(4), pages 120-138, December.
    7. Andrew M. Warner, 1992. "Did the Debt Crisis Cause the Investment Crisis?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(4), pages 1161-1186.
    8. Maureen Were, 2001. "The Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Assessment," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2001-116, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Deshpande, Ashwini, 1997. "The debt overhang and the disincentive to invest," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 169-187, February.
    10. Slimani, Slah & Othmani, Abdelhafidh & Bakari, Sayef, 2015. "Analyse de la Soutenabilité de la Dette Extérieure de la Tunisie pour la Période 1970-2012 [Analysis of the Sustainability of Tunisia's External Debt for the Period 1970-2012]," MPRA Paper 80824, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. O. Kalu Emenike, 2015. "Response of Foreign Private Investment to Public Debt in Nigeria," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(56), pages 65-86, June,.
    12. Holger Görg & Oliver Morrissey & Manop Udomkerdmongkol, 2007. "Investment and Sources of Investment Finance in Developing Countries," Discussion Papers 07/16, University of Nottingham, GEP.

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