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The Human Cost of Recessions: Assessing It, Reducing It

Author

Listed:
  • Mai Dao
  • Mr. Prakash Loungani

Abstract

Recessions leave scars on the labor market. Over 200 million people across the globe are estimated to be unemployed at present resulting from the Great Recession of 2007–09. We assess the human cost of increased unemployment by surveying what is known about the effects of past recessions. If past is prologue, the cost to the unemployed (and society) could be high. The focus of this paper is on advanced economies. To their credit, most countries mounted strong policy responses to minimize the human costs, and the policy actions were notable also for their consistency and coherence across countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Mai Dao & Mr. Prakash Loungani, 2010. "The Human Cost of Recessions: Assessing It, Reducing It," IMF Staff Position Notes 2010/017, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfspn:2010/017
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Elva Bova & Christina Kolerus & Sampawende Tapsoba, 2015. "A fiscal job? An analysis of fiscal policy and the labor market," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Tomáš Domonkos & Brian König, 2015. "Odhad nákladov nezamestnanosti v podmienkach slovenskej ekonomiky [Estimation of the Cost of Unemployment in Slovak Republic]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(4), pages 498-516.
    3. Junankar, Pramod N. (Raja), 2011. "The Global Economic Crisis: Long-Term Unemployment in the OECD," IZA Discussion Papers 6057, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Schaltegger, Christoph A. & Weder, Martin, 2014. "Austerity, inequality and politics," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-22.
    5. Krainer, Robert E., 2012. "Regulating Wall Street: The Dodd–Frank Act and the New Architecture of Global Finance, a review," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 121-133.
    6. Olivier Blanchard & Florence Jaumotte & Prakash Loungani, 2014. "Labor market policies and IMF advice in advanced economies during the Great Recession," IZA Journal of Labor Policy, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 3(1), pages 1-23, December.
    7. Tom Krebs & Martin Scheffel, 2016. "Labor Market Institutions and the Cost of Recessions," CESifo Working Paper Series 6262, CESifo.
    8. Georgia Kaplanoglou & Vassilis T. Rapanos & Ioanna C. Bardakas, 2015. "Does Fairness Matter for the Success of Fiscal Consolidation?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(2), pages 197-219, May.
    9. Eswar S Prasad, 2014. "Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Choices in Emerging Market Economies," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(3), pages 409-429, August.
    10. Oliva, Leobaldo Enrique Molero & Eduardo, Salcedo Muñoz Virgilio & Vásquez, John Alexander Campuzano & Copo, Holger Fabrizzio Bejarano, 2019. "Análisis econométrico del comportamiento del desempleo en el Ecuador (segundo trimestre 2007 a cuarto trimestre 2017)," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, vol. 20(2), pages 22-48, July.
    11. Neil Reid & Michael C. Carroll & Xinyue Ye, 2013. "The Great Recession of 2007-2009," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 27(2), pages 87-89, May.
    12. Morsy, Hanan, 2012. "Scarred Generation," MPRA Paper 100390, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Christoph A. Schaltegger & Martin Weder, 2013. "Will Europe Face A Lost Decade? A Comparison With Japan's Economic Crisis," CREMA Working Paper Series 2013-03, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
    14. Laurence Ball & Davide Furceri & Daniel Leigh & Prakash Loungani, 2019. "Does One Law Fit All? Cross-Country Evidence on Okun’s Law," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 841-874, November.
    15. Adam S. Posen, 2010. "The Central Banker's Case for Doing More," Policy Briefs PB10-24, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    16. Christopher Ragan, 2014. "What Now? Addressing the Burden of Canada's Slow-Growth Recovery," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 413, July.
    17. Mr. Chad Steinberg & Mr. Masato Nakane, 2011. "To Fire or to Hoard? Explaining Japan’s Labor Market Response in the Great Recession," IMF Working Papers 2011/015, International Monetary Fund.

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