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The issue context of modern American politics: semiparametric identification of latent factors from Discrete data

Author

Listed:
  • Byron Shafer

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies)

  • Richard Spady

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and Johns Hopkins)

Abstract

A new methodology that estimates attitudes semiparametrically and estimates actions nonparametrically, as a function of the resulting attitudinal measures, is used to examine the behavioral effects of ?ultural' and ?conomic' preferences in the Presidential elections of 1984 and 1992. The results suggest a shift toward ?ultural politics? achieved Ust among the highly educated but spreading throughout society by the later election. One consequence is that both parties are now consistent in their policy alignments?he Democrats being liberal on both scales, the Republicans conservative. Despite this aggregate consistency, different social groups are attached to the parties in dihrent ways, thereby heightening the potential for intraparty conkct while sharpening the problem of fashioning a platform that is broadly attractive. These problems, finally, express themselves very dihrently within the Democratic and the Republican parties.

Suggested Citation

  • Byron Shafer & Richard Spady, 2002. "The issue context of modern American politics: semiparametric identification of latent factors from Discrete data," CeMMAP working papers CWP16/02, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:16/02
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    File URL: http://cemmap.ifs.org.uk/wps/cwp0216.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. R. Bock & Murray Aitkin, 1981. "Marginal maximum likelihood estimation of item parameters: Application of an EM algorithm," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 46(4), pages 443-459, December.
    2. McClosky, Herbert, 1964. "Consensus and Ideology in American Politics," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(2), pages 361-382, June.
    3. Carmines, Edward G. & Stimson, James A., 1986. "On the Structure and Sequence of Issue Evolution," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 80(3), pages 901-920, September.
    4. repec:cup:apsrev:v:58:y:1964:i:02:p:361-382_00 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. McClosky, Herbert & Hoffmann, Paul J. & O'Hara, Rosemary, 1960. "Issue Conflict and Consensus among Party Leaders and Followers1," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 54(2), pages 406-427, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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