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The World of Forking Paths: Latin America and the Caribbean Facing Global Economic Risks (Executive Summary)

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  • Andrew Powell

Abstract

This report details the divergent paths that the world economy may take and their potential effects on Latin America and the Caribbean. Scenarios are constructed employing a modeling exercise that captures the trade, financial and other linkages between the region and the rest of the world. While vulnerabilities remain and external shocks have been and remain critical, the region enjoys many strengths and has developed a growing arsenal of policy tools. What is the balance of vulnerabilities versus strengths? How can countries address the existing vulnerabilities? How can they perfect their policy tools and minimize the effect of external crises?

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew Powell, 2012. "The World of Forking Paths: Latin America and the Caribbean Facing Global Economic Risks (Executive Summary)," Research Department Publications 4767, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:4767
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    Cited by:

    1. Bruno Martorano, 2014. "Pre-crisis Conditions and Government Policy Responses: Chile and Mexico during the Great Recession," Papers inwopa729, Innocenti Working Papers.
    2. Lora, Eduardo, 2012. "Las reformas estructurales en América Latina: Qué se ha reformado y cómo medirlo (Versión actualizada)," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4086, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. Panizza, Ugo & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2014. "Public debt and economic growth: Is there a causal effect?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 21-41.
    4. Rojas, Diego & Vegh, Carlos & Vuletin, Guillermo, 2022. "The macroeconomic effects of macroprudential policy: Evidence from a narrative approach," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Pería, María Soledad Martínez, 2013. "Comment," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123225, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Patricia Justino & Bruno Martorano, 2016. "Redistribution, inequality and political participation: Evidence from Mexico during the 2008 financial crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2016-140, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    7. De Gregorio, José, 2015. "Sobre entradas y salidas de capitales: flujos brutos, netos y política económica," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 2, pages 9-24.
    8. Patricia Justino & Bruno Martorano, 2016. "Redistribution, inequality and political participation: Evidence from Mexico during the 2008 financial crisis," WIDER Working Paper Series 140, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Raddatz, Claudio & Chang, Roberto, 2014. "Editors’ summary," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123166, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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