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African Swine Fever in China: An Update

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Last November, we wrote an article documenting the development of African Swine Fever in China and its impacts on regional hog and pork prices. Since then, ASF has continued to ravage China's hog industry with 62 new cases from November 1, 2018 to March 27, 2019, resulting in a total of 114 cases. The total inventory of hog factories with ASF outbreaks has increased from 61,214 to 319,726. The pace of the outbreaks has somewhat slowed down from more than 20 cases per month in November and December last year to less than 10 cases per month this year. It is possible that the number of cases is greater than that reported, in part because provinces and producers do not have the economic incentive to report. In this article, we update the impacts of ASF on China's hog inventory, pork imports, and future soybean imports.

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  • Minghao Li & Tao Xiong & Yongjie Ji & Dermot J. Hayes & Wendong Zhang, 2019. "African Swine Fever in China: An Update," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications apr-winter-2019-2, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    • Handle: RePEc:ias:cpaper:apr-winter-2019-2
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    1. Edward J. Balistreri & Christoph Böhringer & Thomas F. Rutherford, 2018. "Quantifying Disruptive Trade Policies," CESifo Working Paper Series 7382, CESifo.
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    1. Nieyan Cheng & Wendong Zhang & Tao Xiong, 2022. "The Impact of China's Place-based Environmental Regulations on its Hog Industry: A Synthetic Difference-in-differences Approach," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 21-wp619, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University.
    2. Michael Delgado & Meilin Ma & H. Holly Wang, 2021. "Exploring Spatial Price Relationships: The Case of African Swine Fever in China," NBER Chapters, in: Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Ma, Meilin & Wang, H. Holly & Hua, Yizhou & Qin, Fei & Yang, Jing, 2021. "African swine fever in China: Impacts, responses, and policy implications," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    4. Shuai Chen & Chen Ji & Songqing Jin, 2022. "Costs of an environmental regulation in livestock farming: Evidence from pig production in rural China," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 541-563, June.
    5. Wittern, Jonas & Luckmann, Jonas & Grethe, Harald, 2023. "Cashew processing in Ghana – A case for infant industry support?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).

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