IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/iab/iabdpa/202018.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Auswirkungen des Corona-Konjunkturprogramms auf Wirtschaft und Erwerbstätigkeit

Author

Listed:
  • Wolter, Marc Ingo

    (GWS)

  • Helmrich, Robert

    (BIBB)

  • Schneemann, Christian

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Weber, Enzo

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Zika, Gerd

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"This article gives an interim estimation of the effects of the German government's economic stimulus and crisis management program (3 June 2020) on the economy and the labour market in Germany. The economic stimulus program is intended to mitigate the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is intended to stimulate the economy, preserve jobs and reduce economic and social hardship. With the help of the scenario technique, a number of assumptions are made which relate to the economic stimulus package. Where the measures are specific enough, we make a number of scenario assumptions and integrate them into the QINFORGE analysis tool. The results show that the economic growth in 2020 will be 1.4 percent and another 1.7 percent in 2021 higher than without the package. In addition, the number of people in employment will increase with 200,000 people during 2020 and 240,000 in 2021. In terms of the industries, it is above all the public administration, the education and training industry and the construction industry that are increasingly in demand as a result of the economic stimulus package. In 2021, in addition to the industries mentioned, health care, architecture and engineering offices, land transport as well as the industry of homes and social services will benefit from the economic stimulus package." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Wolter, Marc Ingo & Helmrich, Robert & Schneemann, Christian & Weber, Enzo & Zika, Gerd, 2020. "Auswirkungen des Corona-Konjunkturprogramms auf Wirtschaft und Erwerbstätigkeit," IAB-Discussion Paper 202018, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabdpa:202018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doku.iab.de/discussionpapers/2020/dp1820.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hummel, Markus & Bernardt, Florian & Kalinowski, Michael & Maier, Tobias & Mönnig, Anke & Schneemann, Christian & Steeg, Stefanie & Wolter, Marc Ingo & Zika, Gerd, 2021. "Qualifikations- und Berufsprojektion bis 2040 nach Bundesländern: Demografie und Strukturwandel prägen weiterhin die regionale Entwicklung der Arbeitsmärkte (Qualifications and occupations projection ," IAB-Kurzbericht 202101, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    2. Schneemann, Christian & Maier, Tobias & Mönnig, Anke & Linhard, Theresa & Weber, Enzo & Zika, Gerd, 2021. "Langfristprojektionen im QuBe-Projekt: US-Konjunkturprogramme beflügeln auch Wirtschaft und Arbeitsmarkt in Deutschland (Long-term projections in the QuBe project: US economic stimulus programs are al," IAB-Kurzbericht 202123, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    3. Wolter, Marc Ingo & Mönnig, Anke & Maier, Tobias & Schneemann, Christian & Steeg, Stefanie & Weber, Enzo & Zika, Gerd, 2021. "Langfristige Folgen der Covid-19-Pandemie für Wirtschaft, Branchen und Berufe," IAB-Forschungsbericht 202102, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    4. Zika, Gerd & Schneemann, Christian & Hummel, Markus & Bernardt, Florian & Kalinowski, Michael & Maier, Tobias & Mönnig, Anke & Steeg, Stefanie & Wolter, Marc Ingo, 2021. "Die langfristigen Folgen von Covid-19, Demografie und Strukturwandel für die Bundesländer : Detaillierte Bundeslands-Ergebnisse der 6. Welle der BIBB-IAB-Qualifikations- und Berufsprojektionen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 202101, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    5. Tobias Maier & Anke Mönnig & Gerd Zika, 2021. "Folgen der COVID-19-Krise auf die kurz-, mittel- und langfristigen Beschäftigungs- und Entlohnungschancen nach Berufen [Consequences of the COVID-19 crisis on short-, medium- and long-term employme," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 15(2), pages 107-138, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bundesrepublik Deutschland ; Pandemie ; Auswirkungen ; Beschäftigungseffekte ; Bruttoinlandsprodukt ; Konjunkturpolitik ; Krisenmanagement ; sektorale Verteilung ; BIBB/IAB-Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen ; Szenario ; Arbeitskräftenachfrage ; Wirtschaftswachstum ; 2020-2021;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iab:iabdpa:202018. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: IAB, Geschäftsbereich Wissenschaftliche Fachinformation und Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iabbbde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.