IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/iab/iabdpa/201807.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Fachkräftemangel: Inländische Personalreserven als Alternative zur Zuwanderung

Author

Listed:
  • Fuchs, Johann

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Weber, Brigitte

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"Demographic ageing will reduce labor supply in the long run. This could result in a substantial labor shortage. Attracting migrants and promotion of labor participation of females and older persons are discussed to mitigate the problem. Recent studies, however, suggest a decline in the migration inflow. Therefore, our study focuses on the question, whether domestic human resources will be sufficient to close the gap between future labor supply and demand. Based on most up-to-date labor force projections we simulate and analyze scenarios even using rather extreme assumptions regarding labor participation rates, in particular of women and older people. The results show higher labor participation rates can only partially compensate the demographic influence, as the working age population will shrink to a greater extend and faster than the participation rates. In addition, some workers might not be able to meet the future job requirements. In this case the potential labor force would be even smaller." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Fuchs, Johann & Weber, Brigitte, 2018. "Fachkräftemangel: Inländische Personalreserven als Alternative zur Zuwanderung," IAB-Discussion Paper 201807, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabdpa:201807
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doku.iab.de/discussionpapers/2018/dp0718.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bundesrepublik Deutschland ; Fachkräftebedarf ; demografischer Wandel ; Erwerbsbeteiligung ; Erwerbspersonenpotenzial ; Fachkräfte ; Frauen ; ältere Arbeitnehmer ; Prognosemodell ; Qualifikationsanforderungen ; Arbeitskräftemangel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • J82 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Standards - - - Labor Force Composition

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:iab:iabdpa:201807. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: IAB, Geschäftsbereich Wissenschaftliche Fachinformation und Bibliothek (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iabbbde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.