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Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price-Setting

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  • Green, Jerry
  • Laffont, Jean-Jacques

Abstract

This paper studies the sequence of short-run quantity-constrained equilibria of a model with a single storable output, labor and money. The durability of output gives rise to inventory fluctuations which influence the course of the equilibria attained. One special feature of interest is the assumption that prices are not at the level which would equilibrate all markets if there were no stochastic shocks to the economy. With prices frozen at this level, the nature of the realized shocks determines the type of disequilibrium realized and the unintended component of inventory change. The analysis concentrates on two questions: What is the statistical nature of the process governing the real wage, output, employment and inventories? And is it possible to test this model against the alternative hypothesis that prices are continually flexible even after the shocks have disturbed the system? We find that although these theories are similar in their qualitative structure, tests can be developed. We also show how the frequencies of different types of quantity-constrained equilibria vary with the stochastic specification. This may shed some insight on why it is commonly believed that some types of disequilibrium phenomena have not been observed.

Suggested Citation

  • Green, Jerry & Laffont, Jean-Jacques, 1981. "Disequilibrium Dynamics with Inventories and Anticipatory Price-Setting," Scholarly Articles 3204668, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hrv:faseco:3204668
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    Cited by:

    1. Ogawa, Shogo, 2022. "Monetary growth with disequilibrium: A non-Walrasian baseline model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 512-528.
    2. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Matthieu Renault, Francesco Sergi, 2019. "European Economics and the Early Years of the “International Seminar on Macroeconomicsâ€," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2019_50, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    3. Aurélien Goutsmedt & Matthieu Renault & Francesco Sergi, 2021. "European Economics and the Early Years of the International Seminar on Macroeconomics," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 131(4), pages 693-722.
    4. Blinder, Alan S & Maccini, Louis J, 1991. "The Resurgence of Inventory Research: What Have We Learned?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(4), pages 291-328.
    5. Ramser, Hans Jürgen, 1982. "Preis-Lohn-Dynamik im Modell der neuen Keynesianischen Makroökonomik," Discussion Papers, Series I 170, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    6. Obstfeld, Maurice & Rogoff, Kenneth, 1984. "Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sluggish Prices under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 25(1), pages 159-174, February.
    7. Guy Laroque, 1991. "Inventories and the Fixprice Method," International Economic Association Series, in: Lionel W. McKenzie & Stefano Zamagni (ed.), Value and Capital: Fifty Years Later, chapter 8, pages 205-231, Palgrave Macmillan.
    8. Andersen, Torben M., 1996. "Rationing of sales and price setting," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(7), pages 1441-1451, August.
    9. Mayer, Walter J. & Dorsey, Robert E., 1998. "Maximum score estimation of disequilibrium models and the role of anticipatory price-setting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 1-24, August.
    10. Picard, Pierre, 1992. "Rationalité approchée et équilibre à prix fixes," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 68(1), pages 127-139, mars et j.
    11. Ogawa, Shogo, 2022. "Survey of non-Walrasian disequilibrium economic theory," MPRA Paper 115011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. John B. Taylor, 1983. "Rational Expectations Models in Macroeconomics," NBER Working Papers 1224, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Thomas H. McCurdy & Demetrius C. Yannelis, 1984. "Simultaneous Price-Quantity Adjustment in the Presence of Spillovers Across Markets," Working Paper 569, Economics Department, Queen's University.
    14. Mayer, Walter J., 1999. "An extension of the maximum score estimator for disequilibrium models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 143-149, August.
    15. Colin Lawrence, 1983. "The impact of supply side policy rules on exchange rates, interest rates and the terms of trade: an exploration under alternative price rules," International Finance Discussion Papers 225, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    16. Eckalbar, John C., 1985. "Inventories in a dynamic macro model with flexible prices," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 201-219, March.

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