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Is China an Optimum Currency Area?

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Abstract

This paper analyzes regional differences across Chinese regions, employing an optimum currency area framework. Empirically, we consider the cross-sectional correlation measure of Solnik & Roulet (2000) when examining data on GDP, trade, inflation and regional budget between 1991 and 2001. Our preliminary results suggest that China probably is more of an optimum currency area than first expected. It is debatable, though, whether Hong Kong and Macao are appropriate as candidates. The results also indicate that there might be other constellations of regions that could be closer to an optimum currency area than the current Yuan area.

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  • Byström, Hans & Olofsdotter , Karin & Söderström, Lars, 2005. "Is China an Optimum Currency Area?," Working Papers 2005:6, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:lunewp:2005_006
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    1. Lars Jonung & Fredrik Sjöholm, 1999. "Should Finland and Sweden Form a Monetary Union?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(5), pages 683-700, July.
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    3. George S. Tavlas, 1993. "The ‘New’ Theory of Optimum Currency Areas," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(6), pages 663-685, November.
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    5. Ms. Hong Liang, 1999. "Do Hong Kong SAR and China Constitute An Optimal Currency Area? An Empirical Test of the Generalized Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis," IMF Working Papers 1999/079, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Robert Lafrance & Pierre St-Amant, 1999. "Optimal Currency Areas: A Review of the Recent Literature," Staff Working Papers 99-16, Bank of Canada.
    7. repec:bla:etrans:v:11:y:2003-03:i:1:p:25-39 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Hal Hill, 2002. "Spatial Disparities in Developing East Asia: a survey," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 16(1), pages 10-35, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fegheh Majidi , Ali, 2014. "Currency Union and Bilateral Trade: Evidence from OIC Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 9(2), pages 140-166, October.
    2. Ephrem Habtemichael Redda & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2017. "Feasibility of Monetary Union in the SADC and EAC: Evidence from Business Cycle Synchronisation," EuroEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 2(36), pages 135-144, November.
    3. Fabrizio Carmignani & James S. Laurenceson, 2013. "Provincial business cycles and fiscal policy in China," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 21(2), pages 323-340, April.
    4. Dougherty, Sean & Herd, Richard & He, Ping, 2007. "Has a private sector emerged in China's industry? Evidence from a quarter of a million Chinese firms," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 309-334.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; optimum currency area; regional developments; cross-sectional correlation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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