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Modeling Joint Lives within Families

Author

Listed:
  • Olivier Cabrignac

    (SCOR Global Life)

  • Arthur Charpentier

    (UQAM - Université du Québec à Montréal = University of Québec in Montréal)

  • Ewen Gallic

    (AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Family history is usually seen as a significant factor insurance companies look at when applying for a life insurance policy. Where it is used, family history of cardiovascular diseases, death by cancer, or family history of high blood pressure and diabetes could result in higher premiums or no coverage at all. In this article, we use massive (historical) data to study dependencies between life length within families. If joint life contracts (between a husband and a wife) have been long studied in actuarial literature, little is known about child and parents dependencies. We illustrate those dependencies using 19th century family trees in France, and quantify implications in annuities computations. For parents and children, we observe a modest but significant positive association between life lengths. It yields different estimates for remaining life expectancy, present values of annuities, or whole life insurance guarantee, given information about the parents (such as the number of parents alive). A similar but weaker pattern is observed when using information on grandparents.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Cabrignac & Arthur Charpentier & Ewen Gallic, 2020. "Modeling Joint Lives within Families," Working Papers halshs-02871927, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-02871927
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-02871927
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gery Geenens & Arthur Charpentier & Davy Paindaveine, 2014. "Probit Transformation for Nonparametric Kernel Estimation of the Copula Density," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
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    7. Olivier Scaillet, 2005. "A Kolmogorov-Smirnov Type Test for Positive Quadrant Dependence," FAME Research Paper Series rp128, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
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    Cited by:

    1. Arthur Charpentier & Lariosse Kouakou & Matthias Lowe & Philipp Ratz & Franck Vermet, 2021. "Collaborative Insurance Sustainability and Network Structure," Papers 2107.02764, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
    2. Kira Henshaw & Waleed Hana & Corina Constantinescu & Dalia Khalil, 2023. "Dependence Modelling of Lifetimes in Egyptian Families," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    annuities; collaborative data; dependence; family history; genealogy; grandparents-grandchildren; information; joint life insurance; parents-children; whole life insurance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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