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A parametric bootstrap for heavytailed distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Adriana Cornea

    (Imperial College London)

  • Russell Davidson

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CIREQ - Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, Department of Economics [Montréal] - McGill University = Université McGill [Montréal, Canada])

Abstract

It is known that Efron's resampling bootstrap of the mean of random variables with common distribution in the domain of attraction of the stable laws with infinite variance is not consistent, in the sense that the limiting distribution of the bootstrap mean is not the same as the limiting distribution of the mean from the real sample. Moreover, the limiting distribution of the bootstrap mean is random and unknown. The conventional remedy for this problem, at least asymptotically, is either the m out of n bootstrap or subsampling. However, we show that both these procedures can be quite unreliable in other than very large samples. A parametric bootstrap is derived by considering the distribution of the bootstrap P value instead of that of the bootstrap statistic. The quality of inference based on the parametric bootstrap is examined in a simulation study, and is found to be satisfactory with heavy-tailed distributions unless the tail index is close to 1 and the distribution is heavily skewed.

Suggested Citation

  • Adriana Cornea & Russell Davidson, 2009. "A parametric bootstrap for heavytailed distributions," Working Papers halshs-00443564, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00443564
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00443564
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    Cited by:

    1. Giuseppe Cavaliere & S'ilvia Gonc{c}alves & Morten {O}rregaard Nielsen & Edoardo Zanelli, 2022. "Bootstrap inference in the presence of bias," Papers 2208.02028, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    2. Hill, Jonathan B. & Aguilar, Mike, 2013. "Moment condition tests for heavy tailed time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(2), pages 255-274.
    3. Trapani, Lorenzo, 2016. "Testing for (in)finite moments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 191(1), pages 57-68.
    4. Daouia, Abdelaati & Stupfler, Gilles & Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine, 2023. "Bias-reduced and variance-corrected asymptotic Gaussian inference about extreme expectiles," TSE Working Papers 23-1444, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Nov 2023.
    5. Heiler, Phillip & Kazak, Ekaterina, 2021. "Valid inference for treatment effect parameters under irregular identification and many extreme propensity scores," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 1083-1108.
    6. Li, Ming & Li, Jia-Yue, 2017. "Generalized Cauchy model of sea level fluctuations with long-range dependence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 484(C), pages 309-335.
    7. Dewitte, Ruben, 2020. "From Heavy-Tailed Micro to Macro: on the characterization of firm-level heterogeneity and its aggregation properties," MPRA Paper 103170, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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