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Financial stability and economic performance in Europe

Author

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  • Jérôme Creel

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Paul Hubert

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Fabien Labondance

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

This paper aims at establishing the link between economic performance and financial stability in the European Union. We use the seminal framework of Beck and Levine (2004) – both in terms of variables and econometric method – to estimate this causal relationship, independently from but controlling for the level of financial depth. Using a panel GMM with instrumental variables, our contribution involves testing how different measures of financial instability (an institutional index, microeconomic indicators, and our own statistical index derived from a principal component analysis) affect economic performance (or components of aggregate dynamics like consumption, investment and disposable income). We find that financial instability has a negative effect on economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Creel & Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2015. "Financial stability and economic performance in Europe," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459729, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03459729
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.10.025
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03459729
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    2. Wang, Hao & Xu, Ning & Yin, Haiyan & Ji, Hao, 2022. "The dynamic impact of monetary policy on financial stability in China after crises," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    3. Babar Hussain & Muhammad Naveed Tahir & Bahawal Khan, 2022. "Impact of Financial Development, Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth on Financial Instability: Evidence from Panel Data," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(2), pages 142-151.
    4. Peterson K. Ozili, 2023. "Effect of gender equality on financial stability and financial inclusion," Social Responsibility Journal, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 20(2), pages 205-223, June.
    5. Martin Hodula & Ngoc Anh Ngo, 2022. "Finance, growth and (macro)prudential policy: European evidence," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 537-571, May.
    6. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Foreign Debt, Financial Stability, Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in South Asian Countries," MPRA Paper 116328, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2022.
    7. Paul-Olivier Klein & Rima Turk-Ariss, 2022. "Bank capital and economic activity," Post-Print hal-03955630, HAL.
    8. Vivien Narcisse WABO NOKAM & Wilfred KEM MUNGONG, 2023. "Financial Stability and Economic Growth in the Cemac Zone: A Panel Cointegration Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, 03-2023.
    9. Layal MansourIshrakieh & Leila Dagher & Sadika El Hariri, 2020. "A financial stress index for a highly dollarized developing country : The case of Lebanon," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 20(2), pages 43-52.
    10. Adriana Cobas & Alexandros Maziotis & Andrés Villegas, 2023. "Measurement of Efficiency and its Drivers in the Chilean Banking Industry," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 987, Central Bank of Chile.
    11. Mansour Ishrakieh, Layal & Dagher, Leila & El Hariri, Sadika, 2018. "The Institute of Financial Economics Financial Stress Index (IFEFSI) for Lebanon," MPRA Paper 116054, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Vít Pošta & Aziya Mukusheva & Nurilya Kuchukova, 2022. "Economic Performance and Financial Stability: Case of the Eurasian Economic Union," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(1), pages 22-35, January.
    13. Vít Pošta & Aziya Mukusheva & Nurilya Kuchukova, 2022. "Economic Performance and Financial Stability: Case of the Eurasian Economic Union," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(1), pages 22-35, January.
    14. Ashraf, Junaid, 2022. "Do political instability, financial instability and environmental degradation undermine growth? Evidence from belt and road initiative countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 1113-1127.
    15. JIMA, Meshesha Demie & MAKONI, Patricia L., 2022. "Determinants Of Financial Stability In Sub-Saharan Africa," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 26(3), pages 55-75, September.
    16. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xinxin & Fu, Qiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2023. "The impact of financial risk on green innovation: Global evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Klein, Paul-Olivier & Turk-Ariss, Rima, 2022. "Bank capital and economic activity," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial depth; Aggregate dynamics; Financial stability; Z-score; Non-performing loans; Banks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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