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A blueprint for a coordinated minimum effective taxation standard for ultra-high-net-worth individuals

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  • Gabriel Zucman

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École nationale des ponts et chaussées - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, EU Tax - EU Tax Observatory, UC Berkeley - University of California [Berkeley] - UC - University of California)

Abstract

This report presents a proposal for an internationally coordinated standard ensuring an effective taxation of ultra-high-net-worth individuals. In the baseline proposal, individuals with more than $1 billion in wealth would be required to pay a minimum amount of tax annually, equal to 2% of their wealth. This standard could be flexibly implemented by participating countries through a variety of domestic instruments, including a presumptive income tax, an income tax on a broad notion of income, or a wealth tax. The report presents evidence that contemporary tax systems fail to tax ultra-high-net-worth individuals effectively, clarifies the case for international coordination to address this issue, analyzes implementation challenges, and provides revenue estimations. The main conclusions are that (i) building on recent progress in international tax cooperation, such a common standard has become technically feasible; (ii) it could be enforced successfully even if all countries did not adopt it, by strengthening current exit taxes and implementing "tax collector of last resort" mechanisms as in the coordinated minimum tax on multinational companies; (iii) a minimum tax on billionaires equal to 2% of their wealth would raise $200-$250 billion per year globally from about 3,000 taxpayers; extending the tax to centimillionaires would add $100-$140 billion; (iv) this international standard would effectively address regressive features of contemporary tax systems at the top of the wealth distribution; (v) it would not substitute for, but support domestic progressive tax policies, by improving transparency about top-end wealth, reducing incentives to engage in tax avoidance, and preventing a race to the bottom; (vi) its economic impact must be assessed in light of the observed pre-tax rate of return to wealth for ultra-high-net-worth individuals which has been 7.5% on average per year (net of inflation) over the last four decades, and of the current effective tax rate of billionaires, equivalent to 0.3% of their wealth.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Zucman, 2024. "A blueprint for a coordinated minimum effective taxation standard for ultra-high-net-worth individuals," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-04947409, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:pseptp:halshs-04947409
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-04947409v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Emmanuel Saez & Gabriel Zucman, 2020. "The Rise of Income and Wealth Inequality in America: Evidence from Distributional Macroeconomic Accounts," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 34(4), pages 3-26, Fall.
    2. Thomas Piketty & Gabriel Zucman, 2014. "Capital is Back: Wealth-Income Ratios in Rich Countries 1700–2010," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 129(3), pages 1255-1310.
    3. Thomas Piketty & Emmanuel Saez & Gabriel Zucman, 2018. "Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the United States," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(2), pages 553-609.
    4. Emmanuel Saez & Gabriel Zucman, 2022. "Wealth Taxation: Lessons from History and Recent Developments," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 112, pages 58-62, May.
    5. Jess Benhabib & Alberto Bisin, 2018. "Skewed Wealth Distributions: Theory and Empirics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1261-1291, December.
    6. Arun Advani & Helen Hughson & Andy Summers, 2023. "How much tax do the rich really pay? Evidence from the UK," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 39(3), pages 406-437.
    7. Katrine Jakobsen & Henrik Kleven & Jonas Kolsrud & Camille Landais & Mathilde Muñoz, 2024. "Taxing Top Wealth: Migration Responses and their Aggregate Economic Implications," NBER Working Papers 32153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Annette Alstadsaeter & Sarah Godar & Panayiotis Nicolaides & Gabriel Zucman, 2023. "Global Tax Evasion Report 2024," Working Papers halshs-04563948, HAL.
    9. Camille Landais & Thomas Piketty & Emmanuel Saez, 2011. "Pour une révolution fiscale : un impôt sur le revenu pour le XXIe siècle," Post-Print halshs-00754907, HAL.
    10. Hjalte Fejerskov Boas & Niels Johannesen & Claus Thustrup Kreiner & Lauge Truels Larsen & Gabriel Zucman, 2024. "Taxing Capital in a Globalized World: The Effects of Automatic Information Exchange," NBER Working Papers 32714, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Emmanuel Saez & Gabriel Zucman, 2016. "Editor's Choice Wealth Inequality in the United States since 1913: Evidence from Capitalized Income Tax Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(2), pages 519-578.
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