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Does China's trade expansion help African development? -- an empirical estimation

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  • Yong He

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - UdA - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper uses Comtrade panel data to assess the impacts of imports from China, in comparison with those from the United States and France, on Sub-Saharan African manufactured exports (as proxies of production erformance). It is found that Chinese impacts are significantly positive in all sectors and in general Chinese impacts are stronger than those of the United States and France. A South-South trade theoretical framework is then explored to interpret this finding: When the absorptive capability of a poorly-developed country is quite limited and (or) a sizeable substitution effect of importing intermediate goods on this country's local production is present, it is better to import from a Southern country with a superior technology than from a Northern country with a very advanced technology. Therefore, my finding has provided evidence that China's increasing trade with Africa is helpful to African economic development.

Suggested Citation

  • Yong He, 2013. "Does China's trade expansion help African development? -- an empirical estimation," Post-Print halshs-00839540, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00839540
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Laurent Didier, 2017. "South-South Trade and Geographical Diversification of Intra-SSA Trade: Evidence from BRICs," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 29(2), pages 139-154, June.
    2. Dramane Coulibaly & Blaise Gnimassoun & Valérie Mignon, 2018. "Growth-enhancing Effect of Openness to Trade and Migrations: What is the Effective Transmission Channel for Africa?," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 27(4), pages 369-404.
    3. Christian Elleby & Wusheng Yu & Qian Yu, 2023. "The Chinese Export Displacement Effect Revisited: The Case of the East African Community," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 31(6), pages 4-32, November.
    4. Broich, Tobias, 2017. "Do authoritarian regimes receive more Chinese development finance than democratic ones? Empirical evidence for Africa," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 180-207.
    5. Larry D. Qiu & Chaoqun Zhan, 2016. "Special Section: China's Growing Trade and its Role to the World Economy," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 45-71, February.
    6. Kafilah Lola GOLD & Rajah RASIAH & Kian Teng KWEK & Murtala MUHAMMAD, 2020. "Export Determinants of China’s FDI in Africa: Empirical Evidence from Oil/Minerals Exporting African Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 119-133, September.
    7. Miao Miao & Qiaoqi Lang & Dinkneh Gebre Borojo & Jiang Yushi & Xiaoyun Zhang, 2020. "The Impacts of Chinese FDI and China–Africa Trade on Economic Growth of African Countries: The Role of Institutional Quality," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-20, June.
    8. Christian Elleby & Wusheng Yu & Qian Yu, 2018. "The Chinese Export Displacement Effect Revisited," IFRO Working Paper 2018/02, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    9. Reginald Masimba Mbona, 2021. "The Impact of China-Africa Trade on Industries in Africa: A Case Study of FOCAC and BRI," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 11(2), pages 301-318, June.
    10. Lionel Fontagné & Gianluca Santoni, 2019. "Agglomeration economies and firm-level labor misallocation," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 251-272.
    11. Mullings, Robert & Mahabir, Aruneema, 2018. "Growth by Destination: The Role of Trade in Africa’s Recent Growth Episode," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 243-261.
    12. Didier, Laurent, 2018. "Economic diplomacy: The “one–China policy” effect on trade," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 223-243.
    13. Shen, Zhiyang & Zhao, Yuntian & Guneri, Fatma & Yang, Yiping & Wang, Songkai & Deng, Haiyan, 2023. "Does the rise of China promote the sustainable development of OECD countries? A geopolitical perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    14. Matthias Busse & Ceren Erdogan & Henning Mühlen, 2016. "China's Impact on Africa – The Role of Trade, FDI and Aid," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 228-262, May.
    15. Mustafa Çakir & Alain Kabundi, 2017. "Transmission of China's Shocks to the BRIS Countries," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 85(3), pages 430-454, September.
    16. Simplice Asongu & John Ssozi, 2016. "Sino-African Relations: Some Solutions and Strategies to the Policy Syndromes," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 33-51, January.
    17. Dinkneh Gebre Borojo & Yushi Jiang, 2016. "The Impact of Africa-China Trade Openness on Technology Transfer and Economic Growth for Africa: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 17(2), pages 403-431, November.
    18. Antonio Martuscelli & Michael Gasiorek, 2019. "Regional Integration And Poverty: A Review Of The Transmission Channels And The Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 431-457, April.
    19. Kafilah Lola Gold, 2022. "The determinant of Chinese foreign direct investments in oil exporting African countries," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 40(3), pages 476-490, July.
    20. Ma, Shengnan, 2022. "Growth effects of economic integration: New evidence from the Belt and Road Initiative," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 753-767.
    21. Dong, Yan & Fan, Cijun, 2017. "The effects of China's aid and trade on its ODI in African countries," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-18.
    22. Jun Hou & Xiaolan Fu & Pierre Mohnen, 2022. "The Impact of China–Africa Trade on the Productivity of African Firms: Evidence from Ghana," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(2), pages 869-896, April.
    23. Emma Serwaa Obobisa & Haibo Chen & Emmanuel Caesar Ayamba & Claudia Nyarko Mensah, 2021. "The Causal Relationship Between China-Africa Trade, China OFDI, and Economic Growth of African Countries," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(4), pages 21582440211, December.
    24. Broich, Tobias, 2017. "Do authoritarian regimes receive more Chinese development finance than democratic ones? Empirical evidence for Africa," MERIT Working Papers 2017-011, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).

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