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Adaptation of crop-livestock systems to price and farm size variations : simulation based on the Orfee bioeconomic model
[Adaptation des systèmes de polycultures-élevages aux variations de prix et de taille de l’exploitation : simulation à partir du modèle bioéconomique Orfee. Innovations Agronomiques 72, 77-89]

Author

Listed:
  • Lucille Steinmetz

    (UMRH - Unité Mixte de Recherche sur les Herbivores - UMR 1213 - VAS - VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Claire Mosnier

    (UMRH - Unité Mixte de Recherche sur les Herbivores - UMR 1213 - VAS - VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

Until the 1950s, crop-livestock systems (combination of crop and livestock farming) ruled France. Since then, specialized systems less numerous and bigger have been prevailing. The objective of this study is to analyse the impacts of price variations and land expansion on crop-livestock farming systems. Simulations were run using the bioeconomical model Orfee applied to three farm types in Lorraine, Normandie and Midi-Pyrénées. The Norman context seems to be the most stable, as a result of milk profitability. But, milk production is stopped for price drop higher than -20%. The livestock-crop share is the most sensitive to price variations in the Midi-Pyrénées system where the returns per worker of the crops and the beef system are close. Beef suckler farms keep livestock on permanent pasture regardless of the price variations.

Suggested Citation

  • Lucille Steinmetz & Claire Mosnier, 2019. "Adaptation of crop-livestock systems to price and farm size variations : simulation based on the Orfee bioeconomic model [Adaptation des systèmes de polycultures-élevages aux variations de prix et ," Post-Print hal-04732547, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04732547
    DOI: 10.15454/O65NF2
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04732547v1
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mosnier, Claire & Duclos, Anne & Agabriel, Jacques & Gac, Armelle, 2017. "Orfee: A bio-economic model to simulate integrated and intensive management of mixed crop-livestock farms and their greenhouse gas emissions," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 202-215.
    2. M. Mazoyer & Laurence Roudart, 2002. "Histoire des agricultures du monde: Du Néolithique à la crise contemporaine," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/44785, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Janssen, Sander & van Ittersum, Martin K., 2007. "Assessing farm innovations and responses to policies: A review of bio-economic farm models," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 622-636, June.
    4. Mosnier, C. & Agabriel, J. & Lherm, M. & Reynaud, A., 2009. "A dynamic bio-economic model to simulate optimal adjustments of suckler cow farm management to production and market shocks in France," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 102(1-3), pages 77-88, October.
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