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Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Eurozone: A Lack of Forward Guidance?

Author

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  • Cécile Bastidon

    (LEAD - Laboratoire d'Économie Appliquée au Développement - UTLN - Université de Toulon, CAC-IXXI, Complex Systems Institute)

  • Nicolas Huchet

    (LEAD - Laboratoire d'Économie Appliquée au Développement - UTLN - Université de Toulon)

  • Yusuf Kocoglu

    (LEAD - Laboratoire d'Économie Appliquée au Développement - UTLN - Université de Toulon)

Abstract

From July to December 2011, the three-month EURIBOR-OIS and EURIBOR-Repo spreads quadrupled and reached 100 basis points due to a stabilization of the EURIBOR and a decrease in the overnight index swap (OIS) and Repo. Using a specific monetary policy announcements and financial indicators database, we find that the European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) unconventional measures did not systematically have a calming effect: Asset buyout announcements decreased market strains, whereas interest rates and liquidity provision announcements did not. Moreover, liquidity provision seems to have a stressing effect. Our findings are consistent with the theoretical underpinnings according to which forward guidance crucially determines the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policies.
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Suggested Citation

  • Cécile Bastidon & Nicolas Huchet & Yusuf Kocoglu, 2015. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Eurozone: A Lack of Forward Guidance?," Post-Print hal-03318511, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03318511
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    Cited by:

    1. Ding, Cherng G. & Wang, Hung-Jui & Lee, Meng-Che & Hung, Wen-Chi & Jane, Ten-Der, 2021. "Assessing the reversal of investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Domenico Lombardi & Pierre L. Siklos & Samantha St. Amand, 2019. "Asset Price Spillovers from Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Global Empirical Perspective," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 43-74, June.
    3. Domenico Lombardi & Pierre Siklos & Samantha St. Amand, 2018. "A Survey Of The International Evidence And Lessons Learned About Unconventional Monetary Policies: Is A ‘New Normal’ In Our Future?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(5), pages 1229-1256, December.
    4. Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Rosita Pretaroli & Hassan Kasady Al Mahdi, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy and real estate sector: a financial dynamic computable general equilibrium model for Italy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 221-238, April.
    5. Cécile Bastidon & Philippe Gilles & Nicolas Huchet, 2016. "The ECB, Between Conservatism and Pragmatism," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 5(1), pages 25-52.

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