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Productivity change in Polish agriculture : an application of a bootstrap procedure to Malmquist indices

Author

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  • Kelvin Balcombe

    (Wye College)

  • Sophia Davidova

    (Wye College)

  • Laure Latruffe

    (Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

Abstract

Les indices de Malmquist d'évolution de productivité, calculés avec la méthode DEA, sont corrigés de leur biais et sont encadrés par des intervalles de confiance, grâce à une procédure de bootstrapping. L'application est faite à l'agriculture polonaise pendant une période cruciale pour le pays, lors de sa transition vers une économie de marché et pendant les préparations à l'adhésion à l'Union européenne : 1996-2000. Les indices corrigés de leur biais montrent une régression de la productivité à un taux annuel de 4%. Les intervalles de confiance suggèrent qu'entre 66% et 80%, selon les années, des exploitations de l'échantillon (dont le nombre total est 250) n'ont peut-être pas vu leur productivité modifiée. Une analyse de cluster basée sur les bornes des intervalles de confiance révèle trois trajectoires principales. Les exploitations qui ont enregistré une augmentation de leur productivité, tout du moins lors la dernière année de la période étudiée, sont plutôt larges, intensives en capital, gérées par des exploitants jeunes, et bien intégrées dans les marchés des produits et des facteurs. Néanmoins, elles ne comptent que pour 19% des exploitations de l'échantillon. Il semble ainsi important pour la Pologne d'encourager le changement structurel, qui permettrait une croissance de la productivité.

Suggested Citation

  • Kelvin Balcombe & Sophia Davidova & Laure Latruffe, 2005. "Productivity change in Polish agriculture : an application of a bootstrap procedure to Malmquist indices," Post-Print hal-02285625, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02285625
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02285625
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fekete-Farkas, Maria & Szucs, Istvan & Varga, Tibor, 2012. "Technological progress and efficiency change In Hungarian Agriculture," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126120, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Fogarasi, Jozsef & Latruffe, Laure, 2009. "Farm performance and support in Central and Western Europe: a comparison of Hungary and France," 83rd Annual Conference, March 30 - April 1, 2009, Dublin, Ireland 51053, Agricultural Economics Society.
    3. Jozsef Fogarasi & Laure Latruffe, 2007. "How did Hungarian crop farms perform before accession: a comparison of technical efficiency and technology with France," Post-Print hal-02285594, HAL.
    4. Fogarasi, Jozsef & Latruffe, Laure, 2007. "Technical Efficiency and Productivity Change of Dairy Farms: A comparison of France and Hungary," 103rd Seminar, April 23-25, 2007, Barcelona, Spain 9432, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Kostlivý, V. & Fuksová, Z. & Dubec, J., 2017. "Farms Productivity Developments Based on Malmquist Production Indices," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 9(2), June.
    6. Stefan Bojnec & Laure Latruffe, 2007. "Productivity change in Slovenian agriculture during the transition: a comparison of production branches," Post-Print hal-02283465, HAL.

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