IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-02095935.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Deregulation of the ASEAN air Transport Market: Measure of Impacts of Airport Activities on Local Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Isabelle Laplace

    (ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile)

  • Chantal Roucolle

    (LEEA - ENAC - Laboratoire d'Economie et d'Econométrie de l'Aérien - ENAC - Ecole Nationale de l'Aviation Civile)

Abstract

ASEAN Member States are currently in a step through liberalization of air traffic market in their region. The target is the 5th freedom right for South-East Asia in 2020. Two opposite effects might be observed following the deregulation: one negative on flag carrier due to increase in competition, one positive on national and regional economies. One main issue concerns the impact of expected development of airport activity on national and regional economies. We propose an estimation of these impact, using a two stage econometric model applied to four ASEAN countries. We show that GDP is the most sensible to air traffic growth in region where only international airports are located, that is for region that exhibit the highest level of development. We show that up to the 5th freedom right, given the expectation in tourism development, national GDP is expected to increase by 9% (Myanmar) to 51% (The Philippines) depending on the country. The magnitude of the impact depends on the tourism development expectation as well as on the tourism contribution to GDP. The analysis show then that economic benefit of air transport liberalization are non-negligible for the ASEAN countries. Given the magnitude of the estimated effect, the benefits would certainly overlap the negative effect of competition on the flag carriers.

Suggested Citation

  • Isabelle Laplace & Chantal Roucolle, 2016. "Deregulation of the ASEAN air Transport Market: Measure of Impacts of Airport Activities on Local Economies," Post-Print hal-02095935, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02095935
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hu, Yi & Xiao, Jin & Deng, Ying & Xiao, Yi & Wang, Shouyang, 2015. "Domestic air passenger traffic and economic growth in China: Evidence from heterogeneous panel models," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 95-100.
    2. Marazzo, Marcial & Scherre, Rafael & Fernandes, Elton, 2010. "Air transport demand and economic growth in Brazil: A time series analysis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 261-269, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bilotkach, Volodymyr & Caro-Burnett, Johann & Khan, Ghulam Dastgir & Sembiring, Benny Lala & Yoshida, Yuichiro, 2021. "Measuring the impact of ASEAN Open Skies on international air traffic movements from and to Southeast Asian Cities," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 368-378.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2017. "Empirical Study towards the Drivers of Sustainable Economic Growth in EU-28 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Rayaprolu, Hema & Levinson, David, 2024. "Co-evolution of public transport access and ridership," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    3. Lenaerts, Bert & Allroggen, Florian & Malina, Robert, 2021. "The economic impact of aviation: A review on the role of market access," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Wang, Sen & Gao, Yi, 2021. "A literature review and citation analyses of air travel demand studies published between 2010 and 2020," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    5. Hanson, Daniel & Toru Delibasi, Tuba & Gatti, Matteo & Cohen, Shamai, 2022. "How do changes in economic activity affect air passenger traffic? The use of state-dependent income elasticities to improve aviation forecasts," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Erdogan, Sinan & Fatai Adedoyin, Festus & Victor Bekun, Festus & Asumadu Sarkodie, Samuel, 2020. "Testing the transport-induced environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: The role of air and railway transport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Yetkiner, Hakan & Beyzatlar, Mehmet Aldonat, 2020. "The Granger-causality between wealth and transportation: A panel data approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 19-25.
    8. Iyer, K. Chandrashekhar & Thomas, Nivea, 2021. "An econometric analysis of domestic air traffic demand in regional airports: Evidence from India," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    9. Hakim, Md Mahbubul & Merkert, Rico, 2016. "The causal relationship between air transport and economic growth: Empirical evidence from South Asia," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 120-127.
    10. Ali, Rafaqet & Bakhsh, Khuda & Yasin, Muhammad Asim, 2023. "Causal nexus between air transportation and economic growth in BRICS countries," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    11. Raihan, Asif & Voumik, Liton Chandra & Akter, Salma & Ridzuan, Abdul Rahim & Fahlevi, Mochammad & Aljuaid, Mohammed & Saniuk, Sebastian, 2024. "Taking flight: Exploring the relationship between air transport and Malaysian economic growth," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    12. Wang, Yanzai & Hao, Chengzhi & Liu, Dawei, 2019. "The spatial and temporal dimensions of the interdependence between the airline industry and the Chinese economy," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 201-210.
    13. Pot, Felix Johan & Koster, Sierdjan, 2022. "Small airports: Runways to regional economic growth?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    14. Bright Akwasi Gyamfi & Festus Victor Bekun & Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente & Stephen Taiwo ONIFADE & Asiedu Benjamin Ampomah, 2022. "Beyond the environmental Kuznets curve: Do combined impacts of air transport and rail transport matter for environmental sustainability amidst energy use in E7 economies?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11852-11870, October.
    15. Rahman, Farzana & Rahman, Md. Mahmudur, 2023. "Analyzing service quality of domestic airlines in an emerging country- Bangladesh by structural equation models," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    16. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Mihaela Onofrei & Georgeta Vintilă & Daniel Ştefan Armeanu, 2018. "Empirical Evidence from EU-28 Countries on Resilient Transport Infrastructure Systems and Sustainable Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-34, August.
    17. Tolcha, Tassew Dufera & Bråthen, Svein & Holmgren, Johan, 2020. "Air transport demand and economic development in sub-Saharan Africa: Direction of causality," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    18. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2021. "Investigating causality between transport infrastructure and urbanization: A state-level study of India (1991–2011)," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 46-55.
    19. Kiracı Kasım & Akan Ercan, 2020. "Empirical analysis of the relationship between trade wars and sea—air transportation," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 6(3), pages 23-44, August.
    20. Pacheco, Ricardo Rodrigues & Fernandes, Elton, 2017. "International air passenger traffic, trade openness and exchange rate in Brazil: A Granger causality test," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 22-29.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Airport capacity;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02095935. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.