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La catastrophe de Fukushima en 2011: quelles conséquences financières et boursières ?

Author

Listed:
  • Sophie Nivoix

    (CEREGE [Poitiers, La Rochelle] - Centre de recherche en gestion [EA 1722] - IAE Poitiers - Institut d'Administration des Entreprises (IAE) - Poitiers - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers - ULR - La Rochelle Université)

  • Serge Rey

    (CATT - Centre d'Analyse Théorique et de Traitement des données économiques - UPPA - Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour)

Abstract

Le tremblement de terre qui a frappé l'est du Japon le 11 mars 2011 a eu un impact économique important pour nombre de sociétés japonaises, dans la mesure où il s'est accompagné d'un tsunami et d'un accident nucléaire majeur à la centrale de Fukushima. Au-delà de l'entreprise TEPCO, propriétaire de la cen-trale nucléaire endommagée, c'est non seulement tout le secteur de la production électrique, mais également l'activité économique et financière dans son ensemble qui en ont subi des conséquences. Celles-ci furent particulièrement sensibles si l'on considère l'évo-lution du marché japonais des actions et l'instabilité qui l'a carac-térisée. Cependant, dans les mois qui ont suivi la catastrophe on a pu noter qu'un retour à une situation proche de la normale s'est produit progressivement pour la plupart des sociétés, excepté celles du secteur électrique. Trois ans après les événements, il est donc intéressant d'ana-lyser la situation à plusieurs titres. Sur le plan économique, il importe de vérifier si la capacité historique du Japon à sortir des phases critiques s'est une fois encore vérifiée. Sur le plan financier , il convient d'observer dans quelle mesure les répercussions de Fukushima ont perturbé à moyen terme la valorisation des entre-prises par le marché, et en particulier TEPCO. Notre étude porte donc à la fois sur des éléments macro-économiques rappelant le contexte dans lequel évolue le Japon en ce début de XXI e siècle, et des données financières et boursières touchant les sociétés dont nous avons analysé tant les rentabilités que la volatilité sur les trois dernières années.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Nivoix & Serge Rey, 2017. "La catastrophe de Fukushima en 2011: quelles conséquences financières et boursières ?," Post-Print hal-01560923, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01560923
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01560923
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    References listed on IDEAS

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