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Effects of Tobin Taxes in Minority Game markets

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  • Ginestra Bianconi
  • Tobias Galla
  • Matteo Marsili
  • Paolo Pin

Abstract

We show that the introduction of Tobin taxes in agent-based models of currency markets can lead to a reduction of both speculative trading and the magnitude of exchange rate fluctuations at intermediate tax rates. In this regime revenues obtained from speculators are maximal for the institutions acting as market makers. We here focus on minority game models of markets, which are accessible by exact techniques from statistical mechanics. Results are supported by computer simulations. Our findings suggest that at finite systems sizes the effect is most pronounced in a critical region around the phase transition of the infinite system, but much weaker if the market is operating far from criticality and does not exhibit anomalous fluctuations.
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  • Ginestra Bianconi & Tobias Galla & Matteo Marsili & Paolo Pin, 2009. "Effects of Tobin Taxes in Minority Game markets," Post-Print hal-00688185, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00688185
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2008.10.009
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    Cited by:

    1. Filip Stanek & Jiri Kukacka, 2018. "The Impact of the Tobin Tax in a Heterogeneous Agent Model of the Foreign Exchange Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 865-892, April.
    2. Sirnes Espen, 2022. "Estimating the Effect of Transaction Costs Using the Tick Size as a Proxy," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 73(1), pages 57-77, April.
    3. Wen-Juan Xu & Li-Xin Zhong, 2022. "Market impact shapes competitive advantage of investment strategies in financial markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-23, February.
    4. Lavička, H. & Lichard, T. & Novotný, J., 2016. "Sand in the wheels or wheels in the sand? Tobin taxes and market crashes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 328-342.
    5. Neil McCulloch & Grazia Pacillo, 2010. "The Tobin Tax A Review of the Evidence," Working Paper Series 1611, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    6. Fontini, Fulvio & Sartori, Elena & Tolotti, Marco, 2016. "Are transaction taxes a cause of financial instability?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 450(C), pages 57-70.
    7. Damette, Olivier, 2016. "Mixture Distribution Hypothesis And The Impact Of A Tobin Tax On Exchange Rate Volatility: A Reassessment," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(6), pages 1600-1622, September.
    8. Francis Bismans & Olivier Damette, 2012. "La taxe Tobin : une synthèse des travaux basés sur la théorie des jeux et l’économétrie," Working Papers of BETA 2012-09, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    9. Bratis, Theodoros & Laopodis, Nikiforos T. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2017. "Assessing the impact of an EU financial transactions tax on asset volatility: An event study," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 12-24.
    10. Jean Philippe Bouchaud & Matteo Marsili & Jean-Pierre Nadal, 2023. "Application of spin glass ideas in social sciences, economics and finance," Post-Print hal-04145594, HAL.
    11. Olivier Damette & St鰨ane Goutte, 2015. "Tobin tax and trading volume tightening: a reassessment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(29), pages 3124-3141, June.
    12. F. Caccioli & M. Marsili & P. Vivo, 2009. "Eroding market stability by proliferation of financial instruments," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 71(4), pages 467-479, October.
    13. Olivier Damette & Beum-Jo Park, 2015. "Tobin Tax and Volatility: A Threshold Quantile Autoregressive Regression Framework," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(5), pages 996-1022, November.
    14. Wen-Juan Xu & Chen-Yang Zhong & Fei Ren & Tian Qiu & Rong-Da Chen & Yun-Xin He & Li-Xin Zhong, 2020. "Evolutionary dynamics in financial markets with heterogeneities in strategies and risk tolerance," Papers 2010.08962, arXiv.org.
    15. Tanaka, Tetsuji & Guo, Jin & Wang, Xiufang, 2024. "Understanding the spillover effects of ethanol production and energy prices on African food markets: A time-varying approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    16. FitzGerald, John & Central Bank Staff, 2012. "The EU Financial Transactions Tax Proposal: A Preliminary Evaluation," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number BKMNEXT217.
    17. Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Matteo Marsili & Jean-Pierre Nadal, 2023. "Application of spin glass ideas in social sciences, economics and finance," Papers 2306.16165, arXiv.org.

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