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An Analysis of the Dynamics of French Firms' Exports from 2000 to 2009: lessons for the Recovery

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Charles Bricongne

    (Centre de recherche de la Banque de France - Banque de France)

  • Lionel Fontagné

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CEPII - Centre d'Etudes Prospectives et d'Informations Internationales - Centre d'analyse stratégique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Guillaume Gaulier

    (Banque de France)

  • Vincent Vicard

    (Centre de recherche de la Banque de France - Banque de France, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

This chapter draws on yearly data for the period 2000-09 relating to individual French exporters to analyse the changes in France's overall export value in response to demand shocks and to shed light on the debate surrounding trade elasticities. Over the medium term, two-thirds of the increase in overall exports witnessed during the observation period was accounted for by an expansion in existing trade flows, thereby leaving scope for new flows. Over the very short term, by contrast, trade flows adjust mainly at the intensive margin to large swings in demand. All this underlines the potential role of sunk costs, which introduce irreversibility into export decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Charles Bricongne & Lionel Fontagné & Guillaume Gaulier & Vincent Vicard, 2011. "An Analysis of the Dynamics of French Firms' Exports from 2000 to 2009: lessons for the Recovery," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00639907, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00639907
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    Cited by:

    1. Wagner, Joachim, 2012. "The Microstructure of the Great Export Collapse in German Manufacturing Industries, 2008/2009," IZA Discussion Papers 6393, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Wagner, Joachim, 2013. "The granular nature of the great export collapse in German manufacturing industries, 2008/2009," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-21.
    3. Joachim Wagner, 2013. "Extensive margins of imports in the great import recovery in Germany, 2009/2010," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2732-2743.
    4. De Lucio, Juan & Mínguez, Raúl & Minondo, Asier & Requena, Francisco, 2017. "Los márgenes del crecimiento de las exportaciones españolas antes y después de la Gran Recesión /Spanish Trade Margins before and after the Great Recession," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 35, pages 43-62, Enero.

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    Keywords

    Crisis; Trade;

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