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Participation and Performance at the London 2012 Olympics

Author

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  • Kuper, Gerard H.
  • Sterken, Elmer

    (Groningen University)

Abstract

The current paper predicts the medal tally for the London 2012 Olympic Games. The forecast procedure consists of analyzing participation and success at the country level of the three most recent editions of the Olympic Summer Games. Potential explanatory variables for medal winnings are income per capita, population, geographical distance to the Games, success in terms of medals won at World Championships, and the home advantage. Our forecasts show that the China takes first place in the medal tally with 44 gold medals, followed by the United States of America winning 33 gold medals. We expect Great Britain to take fourth place winning 23 gold medals.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuper, Gerard H. & Sterken, Elmer, 2012. "Participation and Performance at the London 2012 Olympics," Research Report 12006-EEF, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    • Handle: RePEc:gro:rugsom:12006-eef
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11370/aaa61752-fd3b-4c84-a2a0-f0f596e628d7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Daniel K. N. Johnson & Ayfer Ali, 2004. "A Tale of Two Seasons: Participation and Medal Counts at the Summer and Winter Olympic Games," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 85(4), pages 974-993, December.
    4. Andrew B. Bernard & Meghan R. Busse, 2004. "Who Wins the Olympic Games: Economic Resources and Medal Totals," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 413-417, February.
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