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Flat Bubbles in Long-Horizon Experiments: Results from two Market Conditions

Author

Listed:
  • Tomoe Hoshihata
  • Ryuichiro Ishikawa

    (University of Tsukuba)

  • Nobuyuki Hanaki

    (Université Nice Sophia Antipolis
    GREDEG-CNRS
    IUF)

  • Eizo Akiyama

    (University of Tsukuba, Japan)

Abstract

We report the results of asset market experiments with a long horizon of 100 periods conducted under two market conditions: call markets and continuous double auctions. In both market formats, we observe flat bubbles, i.e., situations where market prices remain steady while fundamental values decrease as the experiments proceed, as well as multiple bubbles. We confirm the stylized facts found in short-horizon experimental asset markets such as bubble-crash price dynamics, and the similarity of the price dynamics between call markets and continuous double auctions. We also examine the relationship between individual trading performance and cognitive ability.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomoe Hoshihata & Ryuichiro Ishikawa & Nobuyuki Hanaki & Eizo Akiyama, 2017. "Flat Bubbles in Long-Horizon Experiments: Results from two Market Conditions," GREDEG Working Papers 2017-32, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), Université Côte d'Azur, France.
    • Handle: RePEc:gre:wpaper:2017-32
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Anita Kopányi-Peuker & Matthias Weber & Lauren Cohen, 2021. "Experience Does Not Eliminate Bubbles: Experimental Evidence," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(9), pages 4450-4485.
    2. Lambrecht, Marco & Sofianos, Andis & Xu, Yilong, 2020. "Does mining fuel bubbles? An experimental study on cryptocurrency markets," Working Papers 0690, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
    3. Penalver, Adrian & Hanaki, Nobuyuki & Akiyama, Eizo & Funaki, Yukihiko & Ishikawa, Ryuichiro, 2020. "A quantitative easing experiment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Experimental asset markets; call markets; continuous double auctions; long horizon; multiple bubbles; cognitive reflection test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C90 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - General
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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