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Monetary policy: why money matters and interest rates don't

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  • Daniel L. Thornton

Abstract

Monetary policy is now conducted by targeting a very short-term interest rate. The Fed and other central banks attempt to control the price level by manipulating aggregate demand by adjusting their interest rate target. At best, money's role is tertiary. Indeed, a few prominent and influential macroeconomists have suggested that money is not essential, or perhaps is irrelevant, for the determination of the price level. Against this backdrop, this paper argues that the essential feature of money is that it guarantees \"final payment\" and is essential for price determination. It also suggests that the ability of the central banks to control interest rates may be greatly exaggerated.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel L. Thornton, 2008. "Monetary policy: why money matters and interest rates don't," Working Papers 2008-011, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2008-011
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    Cited by:

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    4. Franz Seitz & Markus A. Schmidt, 2014. "Money In Modern Macro Models: A Review of the Arguments," Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, Lifescience Global, vol. 3, pages 156-174.
    5. Masudul Hasan Adil & Neeraj R. Hatekar & Taniya Ghosh, 2021. "The Role of Money in the Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian and New Monetarist Perspective," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, in: Environmental, Social, and Governance Perspectives on Economic Development in Asia, volume 29, pages 37-67, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    6. Biswajit Maitra, 2018. "Determinants of Nominal Interest Rates in India," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 16(1), pages 265-288, March.
    7. Wang, Ling, 2022. "The dynamics of money supply determination under asset purchase programs: A market-based versus a bank-based financial system," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "The Federal Reserve’s response to the financial crisis: what it did and what it should have done," Working Papers 2012-050, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    9. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Giulia Ghiani, 2014. "Money, Banking and Interest Rates: Monetary Policy Regimes with Markov-Switching VECM Evidence," CEU Working Papers 2014_3, Department of Economics, Central European University.
    10. Masudul Hasan Adil & Rafiq Hussain & Adelajda Matuka, 2022. "Interest rate sensitivity of demand for money and effectiveness of monetary policy: fresh evidence from combined cointegration test and ARDL approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(7), pages 1-24, July.
    11. Li, Huan & Ni, Jinlan & Xu, Yueli & Zhan, Minghua, 2021. "Monetary policy and its transmission channels: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Holmes, Mark J. & Otero, Jesús & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2015. "The expectations hypothesis and decoupling of short- and long-term US interest rates: A pairwise approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 301-313.
    13. Arnold, Ivo J.M. & Soederhuizen, Beau, 2018. "The missing spillover of base expansion into monetary aggregates: Is there a puzzle?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 64-76.
    14. Paul Tucker, 2009. "Money And Credit, Twelve Months On," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 77(s1), pages 1-20, September.
    15. Ronald A. Ratti & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2019. "What drives the global official/policy interest rate?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(47), pages 5185-5190, October.
    16. Mouyad Alsamara & Zouhair Mrabet, 2019. "Asymmetric impacts of foreign exchange rate on the demand for money in Turkey: new evidence from nonlinear ARDL," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 335-356, April.
    17. Steve Ambler, 2016. "Putting Money to Work: Monetary Policy in a Low Interest Rate Environment," e-briefs 249, C.D. Howe Institute.
    18. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Daniel Goyeau & Cornel Oros, 2015. "On the Long Run Money-Prices Relationship in CEE Countries," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 73-96, June.
    19. Papa Gueye Fam & Rachida Hennani & Nicolas Huchet, 2017. "U.S. Monetary Policy, Commodity Prices And The Financialization Hypothesis," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 20, pages 53-77, December.
    20. Tomáš Urbanovský, 2017. "Granger Causalities Between Interest Rate, Price Level, Money Supply and Real Gdp in the Czech Republic," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 65(2), pages 745-757.
    21. Lahura, Erick, 2017. "Monetary Aggregates and Monetary Policy in Peru," Working Papers 2017-003, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    22. Bekiros Stelios & Muzaffar Ahmed T. & Uddin Gazi S. & Vidal-García Javier, 2017. "Money supply and inflation dynamics in the Asia-Pacific economies: a time-frequency approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 1-12, June.
    23. Bias Peter V. & Hall Joshua D., 2021. "A Test of Neo-Fisherism: 1964–2019," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(1), pages 221-251, January.
    24. Max Gillman & Michal Kejak & Giulia Ghiani, 2014. "Money, Banking and Interest Rates: Monetary Policy Regimes with Markov-Switching VECM Evidence," CEU Working Papers 2014_3, Department of Economics, Central European University.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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