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International transmission of inflation among G-7 countries: a data-determined VAR analysis

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  • Hui Guo
  • Zijun Wang
  • Jian Yang

Abstract

We investigate the international transmission of inflation among G-7 countries using a data-determined vector autoregression analysis, as advocated by Swanson and Granger (1997). Over the period 1973 to 2003, we find that U.S. innovations have a large effect on inflation in the other countries, although they are not always the dominant international factor. Similarly, shocks to some other countries also have a statistically and economically significant influence on U.S. inflation. Moreover, our evidence indicates that U.S. inflation has become less vulnerable to foreign shocks since the early 1990s, mainly because of the diminished influence from Germany and France

Suggested Citation

  • Hui Guo & Zijun Wang & Jian Yang, 2004. "International transmission of inflation among G-7 countries: a data-determined VAR analysis," Working Papers 2004-028, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2004-028
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