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Special Repo Rates and the Cross-Section of Bond Prices: the Role of the Special Collateral Risk Premium

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Abstract

We estimate the joint term-structure of U.S. Treasury cash and repo rates using daily prices of all outstanding Treasury securities and corresponding special collateral (SC) repo rates. This allows us to derive a risk premium associated to the SC value of Treasuries and quantitatively link this premium to various price anomalies, such as the on-the-run premium. We show that a time-varying SC risk premium can explain between 74%?90% of the on-the-run premium, and is highly correlated with a number of other Treasury market anomalies. This suggests a commonality across these price anomalies, explicitly linked to the SC value of the highest-quality securities?recently-issued U.S. nominal Treasuries.

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  • Stefania D'Amico & N. Aaron Pancost, 2018. "Special Repo Rates and the Cross-Section of Bond Prices: the Role of the Special Collateral Risk Premium," Working Paper Series WP-2018-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:wp-2018-21
    DOI: 10.21033/wp-2018-21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James D. Hamilton & Jing Cynthia Wu, 2012. "The Effectiveness of Alternative Monetary Policy Tools in a Zero Lower Bound Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(s1), pages 3-46, February.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bond prices; collateral; interest rates; risk premia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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