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Should the central bank be concerned about housing prices?

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  • Karsten Jeske
  • Zheng Liu

Abstract

Housing is an important component of the consumption basket. Since both rental prices and goods prices are sticky, the literature suggests that optimal monetary policy should stabilize both types of prices, with the optimal weight on rental inflation proportional to the housing expenditure share. In a two-sector DSGE model with sticky rental prices and goods prices, however, we find that the optimal weight on rental inflation in the Taylor rule is small?much smaller than that implied by the housing expenditure share. Since production of housing services uses the stocks of housing intensively, large fluctuations in the price of housing stocks lead to large adjustments in reset rental prices. This weak strategic complementarity in rental price setting calls for a small optimal weight on rental price inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Karsten Jeske & Zheng Liu, 2010. "Should the central bank be concerned about housing prices?," Working Paper Series 2010-05, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2010-05
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    Cited by:

    1. Cantelmo, Alessandro & Melina, Giovanni, 2023. "Sectoral labor mobility and optimal monetary policy," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(1), pages 1-26, January.
    2. Rubio Margarita, 2019. "Rented vs. owner-occupied housing and monetary policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-16, January.
    3. Dong, Ding & Liu, Zheng & Wang, Pengfei & Zha, Tao, 2022. "A theory of housing demand shocks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    4. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, number 2012_047.
    5. Cantelmo, Alessandro & Melina, Giovanni, 2018. "Monetary policy and the relative price of durable goods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-48.
    6. repec:zbw:bofism:2012_047 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Taipalus, Katja, 2012. "Detecting asset price bubbles with time-series methods," Bank of Finland Scientific Monographs, Bank of Finland, volume 0, number sm2012_047, July.
    8. Bekiros, Stelios & Nilavongse, Rachatar & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2020. "Expectation-driven house prices and debt defaults: The effectiveness of monetary and macroprudential policies," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    9. Alessandro Notarpietro & Stefano Siviero, 2015. "Optimal Monetary Policy Rules and House Prices: The Role of Financial Frictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(S1), pages 383-410, March.
    10. Zheng Liu, 2015. "Discussion of Notarpietro and Siviero," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(S1), pages 411-417, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing - Prices; Monetary policy; Inflation targeting;
    All these keywords.

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