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Monetary policy and real interest rates: new evidence from the money stock announcements

Author

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  • William T. Gavin
  • Nicholas V. Karamouzis

Abstract

This paper presents new evidence on how asset prices respond to new information about the money stock. It shows that the information content of money stock announcements and the response of asset prices to new information in the announcements vary with changes in the monetary policy regime, the Federal Reserve operating procedures, and the reserve accounting rules. While previous studies have examined how asset prices respond to the money stock announcements under the interest-rate targeting procedure and the nonborrowed reserve procedure, we have included new evidence from the borrowed reserve targeting procedure under both lagged and contemporaneous reserve accounting rules. Looking at how both forward exchange rates and other asset prices respond to the announcements, we distinguish between periods when the asset-price response reflected a change in the real interest rate and those when it reflected a change in the inflation premium. Finally, we show that the new contemporaneous reserve accounting rules have greatly reduced the information content of the money stock announcements.

Suggested Citation

  • William T. Gavin & Nicholas V. Karamouzis, 1984. "Monetary policy and real interest rates: new evidence from the money stock announcements," Working Papers (Old Series) 8406, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcwp:8406
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Rik Hafer & Richard G. Sheehan, 1987. "On the response of interest rates to unexpected weekly money: are policy changes important?," Working Papers 1987-005, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    2. Timothy Q. Cook & Thomas K. Hahn, 1990. "Interest rate expectations and the slope of the money market yield curve," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 76(Sep), pages 3-26.
    3. V. Vance Roley, 1986. "U.S. Monetary Policy Regimes and U.S.-Japan Financial Relations," NBER Working Papers 1858, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. V. Vance Roley, 1986. "The Response of Interest Rates to Money Announcements under Alternative Operating Prosedures and Reserve Requirement Systems," NBER Working Papers 1812, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Michael T. Belongia & Richard G. Sheehan, 1985. "The efficient markets hypothesis and weekly money: some contrary evidence," Working Papers 1985-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    6. V. Vance Roley & Simon M. Wheatley, 1990. "Temporal Variation in the Interest-Rate Response to Money Announcements," NBER Working Papers 3471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Timothy Q. Cook & Thomas K. Hahn, 1988. "The effect of changes in the federal funds rate target on market interest rates in the 1970s," Working Paper 88-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
    8. Andreas Fischer, 1989. "Interpreting the Term Structure of Interest Rates Using Weekly Money Announcements," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 125(I), pages 43-53, March.

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