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Remittance Inflow and Unemployment in Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Godfrey I. Ihedimma

    (Spiritan University, Nneochi, Abia State, Nigeria)

  • Godstime I. Opara

    (Imo State University, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria)

Abstract

Nigeria is unarguably one of the countries with its citizens widely spread across the globe and the income earned forms a huge chunk of remittance back to Nigeria. The study focuses on what implications remittances may have for unemployment in Nigeria. Remittance is treated as being endogenously determined by the number of migrants, the nominal exchange rate (with the Naira as local currency), the inflation rate and the migrants’ income. Data from 1981 to 2019 is calibrated for structural break points and stationarity under conditions of regimes changes. While the data was found to have been affected by regime changes and stationary in levels, an Instrumental Variable Regression model was estimated and it was found that remittance positively and significantly influence unemployment. However, when remittance is interacted with the dependants in Nigeria, unemployment is observed to fall. The study strongly recommends that fiscal planning should take an account of the inflow of remittances when curbing unemployment. The study further recommends that there is the need to deliberately encourage a rise in the demand for the Naira as this would protect the value of locally produced goods from being eroded by remittances.

Suggested Citation

  • Godfrey I. Ihedimma & Godstime I. Opara, 2020. "Remittance Inflow and Unemployment in Nigeria," Working Papers 20/103, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    • Handle: RePEc:exs:wpaper:20/103
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mr. Yasser Abdih & Mr. Ralph Chami & Mr. Christian H Ebeke & Mr. Adolfo Barajas, 2012. "Remittances Channel and Fiscal Impact in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia," IMF Working Papers 2012/104, International Monetary Fund.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Remittance; Dependant; Endogenous; Financial Openness; Unemployment; Interaction; IV Estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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