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The impact of wealth on consumption and retirement behaviour in the UK

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  • Blake, David

Abstract

Housing and pension wealth are shown to be important determinants of personal sector consumption and retirement behaviour in the UK. Housing and state pension wealth have a positive effect on consumption, while private pension wealth promotes greater savings. Greater private defined benefit pension wealth encourages earlier retirement, while greater de¯ned contribution pension wealth has the e®ect of delaying retirement. State pension wealth appears to have no effect on the retirement decision. Other variables relating to income, labour market and demographic status and spillovers from other sectors are also shown to be important. The consumption equation forecasts the late 1980s boom and the early 1990s slump in the UK better than other models that disregard housing and pension wealth. A particularly important cause of the boom was the huge private pension fund surpluses that accrued as a result of the stock market boom of the 1980s.

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  • Blake, David, 2002. "The impact of wealth on consumption and retirement behaviour in the UK," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24949, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:24949
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    1. Macchiarelli, Corrado & Aranki, Ted, 2013. "Employment duration and shifts into retirement in the EU," Working Paper Series 1517, European Central Bank.
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    3. H. Yigit Aydede, 2007. "Saving and Social Security Wealth: A Case of Turkey," NFI Working Papers 2007-WP-03, Indiana State University, Scott College of Business, Networks Financial Institute.
    4. Gabriele Semeraro, 2007. "Should financial accounts include future pension liabilities," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Measuring the financial position of the household sector", Basel, 30-31 August 2006 - Volume 1, volume 25, pages 179-198, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Riccardo De Bonis & Andrea Silvestrini, 2012. "The effects of financial and real wealth on consumption: new evidence from OECD countries," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 409-425, March.
    6. Sohrab Abizadeh & Dennis Ng, 2009. "Equities, liquidity and consumption: does the stock market matter?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(15), pages 1187-1196.
    7. Torben Andersen & Mikkel Hermansen, 2014. "Durable consumption, saving and retirement," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 27(3), pages 825-840, July.
    8. Mauro Mastrogiacomo, 2010. "Testing Consumers' Asymmetric Perception Of Changes In Household Financial Situation," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 56(2), pages 327-350, June.
    9. Allard Bruinshoofd & Sybille Grob, 2006. "Do changes in pension incentives affect retirement? A stated preferences approach to Dutch retirement consideration," DNB Working Papers 115, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    10. Yeosun Yoon & Heejung Chung, 2016. "New Forms of Dualization? Labour Market Segmentation Patterns in the UK from the Late 90s Until the Post-crisis in the Late 2000s," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 128(2), pages 609-631, September.
    11. Jung Hoon Kim & Marc Lavoie, 2016. "A two-sector model with target-return pricing in a stock-flow consistent framework," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 403-427, September.
    12. Qing Zhao & Zhen Li & Taichang Chen, 2016. "The Impact of Public Pension on Household Consumption: Evidence from China’s Survey Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-15, September.
    13. xinbang, Cao & Wang, Fei & Wang, Yang & Wang, Youxin, 2022. "An investigation of whether pensions increase consumption: Evidence from family portfolios," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    14. Robert-Paul Berben & Kerstin Bernoth & Mauro Mastrogiacomo, 2007. "Households' response to wealth changes: do gains or losses make a difference?," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Measuring the financial position of the household sector", Basel, 30-31 August 2006 - Volume 1, volume 25, pages 145-160, Bank for International Settlements.
    15. Ayal Kimhi & Maya Sender, 2024. "Does Food Expenditure Decrease after Retirement, and for Whom?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-15, February.
    16. Mingyong Hong & Ji Wang & Mengjie Tian, 2022. "Rural Social Security, Precautionary Savings, and the Upgrading of Rural Residents’ Consumption Structure in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-17, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Merton model; consumption; retirement; financial wealth; housing wealth; pension wealth; human capital;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth

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