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An Alternative way of Predicting the Outcome of the Scottish Independence Referendum: The Information in the Ether

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  • Ronald MacDonald
  • Xuxin Mao

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  • Ronald MacDonald & Xuxin Mao, 2015. "An Alternative way of Predicting the Outcome of the Scottish Independence Referendum: The Information in the Ether," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-69, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
    • Handle: RePEc:edn:sirdps:677
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    1. Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F., 2013. "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 117-125.
    2. Aouadi, Amal & Arouri, Mohamed & Teulon, Frédéric, 2013. "Investor attention and stock market activity: Evidence from France," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 674-681.
    3. Chris Brooks & Sotiris Tsolacos, 1999. "The impact of economic and financial factors on UK property performance," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 139-152, January.
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    5. Hyunyoung Choi & Hal Varian, 2012. "Predicting the Present with Google Trends," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 88(s1), pages 2-9, June.
    6. Vozlyublennaia, Nadia, 2014. "Investor attention, index performance, and return predictability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 17-35.
    7. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2008. "All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 785-818, April.
    8. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    9. Takeda, Fumiko & Wakao, Takumi, 2014. "Google search intensity and its relationship with returns and trading volume of Japanese stocks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-18.
    10. Hamilton, James D., 1990. "Analysis of time series subject to changes in regime," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1-2), pages 39-70.
    11. Vlastakis, Nikolaos & Markellos, Raphael N., 2012. "Information demand and stock market volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 1808-1821.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ronald McDonald & Xuxin Mao, 2015. "Forecasting the 2015 General Election with Internet Big Data: An Application of the TRUST Framework," Working Papers 2016_03, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.

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