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Institutional change and political conflict in a structuralist model

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  • Porcile, Gabriel
  • Sánchez-Ancochea, Diego

Abstract

The article presents a theoretical model of political conflict and democratic stability in a small open developing economy, using as the basis a structuralist macroeconomic model. Political institutions are given in the medium run, but they vary in the long run as the result of political conflict between capitalists, formal workers, and informal workers excluded from the benefits of social protection conquered by the formal workers. The model suggests that a democratic breakdown is more likely the larger the informal sector, the lower the non-price competitiveness of the economy, and the weaker the country’s democratic traditions. Coups and democratization process can be both triggered by an external shock. The article claims that combining industrial and technological policies —which ease the balance-of-payments constraint— with the strengthening of social protection is key for the consolidation and stability of political democracy in developing economies.

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  • Porcile, Gabriel & Sánchez-Ancochea, Diego, 2020. "Institutional change and political conflict in a structuralist model," Desarrollo Productivo 45733, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col026:45733
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    Cited by:

    1. Gabriel Porcile & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2023. "Rentiers, Strategic Public Goods and Financialization in the Periphery," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2023_03, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    2. Carlos Bianchi & Fernando Isabella & Santiago Picasso, 2023. "Growth slowdowns at middle income levels: Identifying mechanisms of external constraints," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(2), pages 288-305, May.
    3. Gabriel Porcile, 2024. "Sustainable development in a center-periphery model," LEM Papers Series 2024/10, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    4. Passos, Nikolas & Morlin, Guilherme Spinato, 2022. "Growth models and comparative political economy in Latin America," SocArXiv dfyq4, Center for Open Science.
    5. Carlos Bianchi & Fernando Isabella & Anaclara Martinis & Santiago Picasso, 2023. "Varieties of middle-income trap: heterogeneous trajectories and common determinants," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 23-16, Instituto de Economía - IECON.

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