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Testing Shifts in Financial Models with Conditional Heteroskedasticity: An Empirical Distribution Function Approach

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  • Shinn-Juh Lin

    (University of Technology - Sydney)

  • Jian Yang

    (University of Western Ontario)

Abstract

This paper proposes a class of test procedures for a structural change with an unknown change point. In particular, we consider a general financial time series model with conditional heteroskedasticity. The test statistics are constructed via the empirical distribution approach and are aiming for detecting a change that may occur beyond the second moment. We derive the asymptotic null distributions of the test statistics and tabulate the critical values. Studies of the local power show that our test statistics have non-trivial local power. Finite sample performances of the proposed tests are studied via Monte Carlo methods. The test procedures are applied to test change point in the S&P 500 daily index.

Suggested Citation

  • Shinn-Juh Lin & Jian Yang, 2000. "Testing Shifts in Financial Models with Conditional Heteroskedasticity: An Empirical Distribution Function Approach," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0063, Econometric Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecm:wc2000:0063
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Helmut Herwartz & Hans‐Eggert Reimers, 2002. "Empirical modelling of the DEM/USD and DEM/JPY foreign exchange rate: Structural shifts in GARCH‐models and their implications," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(1), pages 3-22, January.
    2. Vanshu Mahajan & Sunil Thakan & Aashish Malik, 2022. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of NIFTY 50 Using GARCH and RNN Models," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, April.
    3. Karmakar, Sayar & Richter, Stefan & Wu, Wei Biao, 2022. "Simultaneous inference for time-varying models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(2), pages 408-428.

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