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The Japanese Economic Model: JEM

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  • Yuki Teranishi
  • Ippei Fujiwara
  • Naoko Hara

Abstract

In this paper, we set out the JEM (Japanese Economic Model), a large macroeconomic model of the Japanese Economy. Although the JEM is a theoretical model designed with a view to overcoming the Lucas (1976) critique of traditional large macroeconomic models, it can also be used for both projection and simulation analysis. This is achieved by embedding a mechanism within which ``short-run dynamics,'' basically captured by a vector autoregression model, eventually converge to a ``short-run equilibrium,'' which is defined using a dynamic general equilibrium-type model

Suggested Citation

  • Yuki Teranishi & Ippei Fujiwara & Naoko Hara, 2004. "The Japanese Economic Model: JEM," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 723, Econometric Society.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecm:feam04:723
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    3. Wieland, Volker & Binder, Michael & Lieberknecht, Philipp & Quintana, Jorge, 2017. "Model Uncertainty in Macroeconomics: On the Implications of Financial Frictions," CEPR Discussion Papers 12013, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Evgenidis, Anastasios & Hamano, Masashige & Vermeulen, Wessel N., 2021. "Economic consequences of follow-up disasters: Lessons from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Ichiro Fukunaga & Naoko Hara & Satoko Kojima & Yoichi Ueno & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2011. "The Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM): 2011 Version," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 11-E-11, Bank of Japan.
    6. Katarzyna Budnik & Michal Greszta & Michal Hulej & Marcin Kolasa & Karol Murawski & Michal Rot & Bartosz Rybaczyk & Magdalena Tarnicka, 2009. "The new macroeconometric model of the Polish economy," NBP Working Papers 62, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    7. Sugo, Tomohiro & Ueda, Kozo, 2008. "Estimating a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 476-502, December.
    8. Fujiwara, Ippei & McAdam, Peter & Roberts, John M., 2006. "Monetary policy at the zero interest bound: A model comparison exercise," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 305-313, September.
    9. Mr. Jan Vlcek & Mr. Scott Roger, 2012. "Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks: Recent Developments and Future Directions," IMF Working Papers 2012/021, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Wing Leong Teo, 2009. "Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model Of The Taiwanese Economy," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 194-231, May.
    11. Luciano Vereda & Marco A. F. H. Cavalcanti, 2010. "Modelo Dinâmico Estocástico de Equilíbrio Geral (DSGE) Para a Economia Brasileira: Versão 1," Discussion Papers 1479, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    12. Futagami, Koichi & Konishi, Kunihiko, 2018. "Dynamic analysis of budget policy rules in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 72-88.
    13. Matsuoka, Hideaki, 2015. "Fiscal limits and sovereign default risk in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 13-30.
    14. Nutahara, Kengo, 2015. "Laffer curves in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 56-72.
    15. Ippei Fujiwara & Naoko Hara & Naohisa Hirakata & Shinichiro Watanabe & Kentaro Yoshimura, 2005. "Monetary Policy in a Liquidity Trap: What Have We Learned, and to What End?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), pages 471-508, December.
    16. McNelis, Paul D. & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2016. "Finding stability in a time of prolonged crisis: Unconventional policy rules for Japan," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 122-136.
    17. Ippei Fujiwara & Naoko Hara & Naohisa Hirakata & Takeshi Kimura & Shinichiro Watanabe, 2007. "Japanese Monetary Policy during the Collapse of the Bubble Economy: A View of Policymaking under Uncertainty," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 25(2), pages 89-128, November.
    18. Naoko Hara & Takeshi Kimura & Kunio Okina, 2008. "Monetary Policy Framework and "Insurance Against Deflation"," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 08-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    19. Fujiwara, Ippei & Hara, Naoko & Yoshimura, Kentaro, 2006. "Effectiveness of state-contingent monetary policy under a liquidity trap," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 364-379, September.
    20. Mitsuhiro OKANO & Daisuke IDA & Shigeto KITANO & Yoichi MATSUBAYASHI, 2015. "Development of a Regional DSGE Model in Japan: Empirical Evidence of Economic Stagnation in the Kansai Economy," APIR Discussion Paper Series 1004265, Asia Pacific Institute of Research.

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    Keywords

    Large Macroeconomic Model; Monetary Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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