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Cross-country price and inflation dispersion: retail network or national border?

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  • Messner, Teresa
  • Rumler, Fabio
  • Strasser, Georg

Abstract

(Why) do prices and inflation rates differ within the euro area? We study the relevance of a national border for grocery prices in the otherwise homogenous and highly integrated border region of Austria and Germany. Using transaction data on prices and quantities from a large household panel, we compare the prices of identical products within a narrow band along the border. We find large assortment and price differences between these two regions. Even within multinational retail chains the prices of identical products on the two sides of the border differ on average by about 21%. These price differences are not very persistent indicating little arbitrage gain from undifferentiated cross-border shopping. Ensuing product-level inflation rates differ for only half of the chains. The results highlight the importance of the history-dependent evolution of distribution networks and of the structure of the sales organization as a driver of price and inflation heterogeneity. JEL Classification: D12, E31, D43, F15, F4

Suggested Citation

  • Messner, Teresa & Rumler, Fabio & Strasser, Georg, 2023. "Cross-country price and inflation dispersion: retail network or national border?," Working Paper Series 2776, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20232776
    Note: 1137785
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    Cited by:

    1. Friberg, Richard & Steen, Frode & Ulsaker, Simen Aardal, 2024. "Cross-border shopping of alcohol – What is the effect on tax revenue and sales and which products are most affected?," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 12/2024, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
    2. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    border effect; cross-border arbitrage; goods market integration; market power; price discrimination;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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