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Consumption and initial mortgage conditions: evidence from survey data

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  • Masier, Giacomo
  • Villanueva, Ernesto

Abstract

Economic theory predicts that the consumption path of unconstrained home owners responds to the interest rate, while the consumption path of credit constrained home owners is determined by the size and timing of payments (mortgage maturity). We exploit the rapid expansion of mortgage markets during the last decade in Spain and a very detailed survey on household finances to estimate group-specific consumption responses to changes in the credit conditions. Our estimates suggest that the consumption of households headed by an individual with high school responds more to mortgage maturity than to the interest rate spread. The consumption of the rest of indebted households is insensitive to loan maturity. Those results are confirmed when we instrument loan maturity exploiting the fact that banks are reluctant to offer contracts with age at maturity above 65. An interpretation of those results is that households headed by middle education individuals, 8% of our sample, behave as credit constrained. JEL Classification: D91

Suggested Citation

  • Masier, Giacomo & Villanueva, Ernesto, 2011. "Consumption and initial mortgage conditions: evidence from survey data," Working Paper Series 1297, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20111297
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Núria Rodríguez‐Planas, 2018. "Mortgage finance and culture," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(4), pages 786-821, September.
    2. Javier Andres & Oscar Arce & Dominik Thaler & Carlos Thomas, 2020. "When Fiscal Consolidation Meets Private Deleveraging," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 214-233, July.
    3. Stepanchuk Serhiy & Ádám Reiff, 2012. "11th Annual Macroeconomic Policy Research Workshop at MNB: Microeconomic Behavior and its Macroeconomic Implications During the Financial Crisis," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 7(3), pages 67-72, October.
    4. Ferrari, Alessandro & Loseto, Marco, 2023. "Liquidity constraints and demand for maturity the case of mortgages," Working Paper Series 2859, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    credit constraints; household consumption; mortgages;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making

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