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On the Sources of Euro Area Money Demand Stability. A Time-Varying Cointegration Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Matteo Barigozzi
  • Antonio Conti

Abstract

We adopt a time-varying cointegration test to discriminate among different empirical studies claiming to find a stable Euro Area money demand equation. A time invariant relation explaining real balances is rejected by data, even when accounting for housing, financial and labour markets. Conversely, an international portfolio allocation approach provides stabilization. In particular, international financial markets, rather than monetary policy, are the key determinant of the observed diverging path of money growth. In terms of policy, we provide empirical support for a New Two Pillars Strategy aimed to achieve financial stability through money and credit and price stability through interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Matteo Barigozzi & Antonio Conti, 2010. "On the Sources of Euro Area Money Demand Stability. A Time-Varying Cointegration Analysis," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2010-022, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    • Handle: RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/57649
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. De Santis, Roberto A. & Favero, Carlo A. & Roffia, Barbara, 2013. "Euro area money demand and international portfolio allocation: A contribution to assessing risks to price stability," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 377-404.
    2. Ralph Setzer & Guntram Wolff, 2013. "Money demand in the euro area: new insights from disaggregated data," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 297-315, June.
    3. Chen-Huan Shieh & Shou-Hsiang Liu & Chung-Ching Lee, 2017. "How Stable is the Money Demand in Taiwan?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 3(5), pages 54-64, 05-2017.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Euro Area Money Demand; Time-Varying Vector Error Correction Model; International Portfolio Allocation; Financial Stability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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