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Analyse exploratoire d'un programme d'allocations-loyers en Région de Bruxelles-Capitale: comparaison internationale et évaluation budgétaire et économique selon trois scénarios

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  • Didier Baudewyns
  • Amynah Vanessa Gangji
  • Robert Plasman

Abstract

Ce rapport de recherche a pour objet l’étude du coût budgétaire attendu et des effets économiques probables d’un programme ambitieux d’allocations-loyers en Région de Bruxelles-Capitale (RBC) selon 3 scénarios :(1) allocations-loyers versées à 5000 ménages demandeurs de logements sociaux ;(2) allocations-loyers pour les bénéficiaires du revenu d’intégration (R.I. ancien « minimex ») ;(3) allocations-loyers à tous les ménages les plus pauvres de la RBC (revenus inférieurs à la moitié du revenu médian en RBC). Comme dans d’autres pays, l’allocation couvrirait la différence entre un loyer plafond et un tiers du revenu environ. Cette étude est exploratoire puisque depuis la seconde guerre mondiale il n’y pas eu de système général d’allocation-loyer en Belgique. Les fourchettes du subside total calculées donnent néanmoins une idée de l’ordre de grandeur du coût budgétaire selon les différents scénarios. Celui-ci serait de l’ordre de 40 millions d’euros dans le scénario 1. Face au double constat d’un déficit excessif de l’offre de logements décents dans le segment « faibles revenus » à Bruxelles et de danger d’inflation des loyers, nous ne recommandons pas la mise en œuvre d’un programme d’allocations loyers dans cette ville. Avant d’y envisager une telle politique de stimulation de la demande, il faudrait d’abord accroître l’offre de logements sociaux et/ou subventionner la construction en général. L’idée est d’assainir d’abord la concurrence dans ce segment de marché (cf. les marchands de sommeil) et par là d’y stabiliser les prix.

Suggested Citation

  • Didier Baudewyns & Amynah Vanessa Gangji & Robert Plasman, 2006. "Analyse exploratoire d'un programme d'allocations-loyers en Région de Bruxelles-Capitale: comparaison internationale et évaluation budgétaire et économique selon trois scénarios," DULBEA Working Papers 06-04.RR, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    • Handle: RePEc:dul:wpaper:06-04rr
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gibbons, Stephen & Manning, Alan, 2006. "The incidence of UK housing benefit: Evidence from the 1990s reforms," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(4-5), pages 799-822, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bernal, Oscar & Oosterlinck, Kim & Szafarz, Ariane, 2010. "Observing bailout expectations during a total eclipse of the sun," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(7), pages 1193-1205, November.
    2. Charles Plaigin, 2009. "Exploratory study on the presence of cultural and institutional growth spillovers," DULBEA Working Papers 09-03.RS, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Pierre-Guillaume Méon & Ariane Szafarz, 2008. "Labor market discrimination as an agency cost," DULBEA Working Papers 08-19.RS, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    allocation-loyer; loyer plafond; revenus; coût budgétaire; inflation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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