IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/dnb/dnbwpp/745.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Eurosystem’s bond market share at an all-time high: what does it mean for repo markets?

Author

Listed:
  • Tomás Carrera de Souza
  • Tom Hudepohl

Abstract

In this paper we study the link between central bank asset purchases and the repo market, to examine the impact of the Eurosystem’s increased footprint in financial markets resulting from the response to the Covid-19 crisis. To do so, we exploit different highly granular data on government bond purchases and money market transactions. We find that both marginal purchases (flow effect) and aggregate holdings (stock effect) have a significant downward impact on repo rates. The stock effect is nonlinear, and is amplified when the central bank’s holdings are larger. Finally, we find that the Eurosystem’s Securities Lending Facility alleviates the downward pressure on repo rates for scarce bonds, but it does not fully compensate for the downward pressure created by purchases. This collateral scarcity may hamper a smooth functioning of repo and underlying bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomás Carrera de Souza & Tom Hudepohl, 2022. "The Eurosystem’s bond market share at an all-time high: what does it mean for repo markets?," Working Papers 745, DNB.
    • Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:745
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.dnb.nl/media/kq3peijz/working_paper_no-_745.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bottazzi, Jean-Marc & Luque, Jaime & Páscoa, Mário R., 2012. "Securities market theory: Possession, repo and rehypothecation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 147(2), pages 477-500.
    2. Jonathan Chiu & Jens Eisenschmidt & Cyril Monnet, 2020. "Relationships in the Interbank Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 35, pages 170-191, January.
    3. Roc Armenter & Benjamin Lester, 2017. "Excess Reserves and Monetary Policy Implementation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 23, pages 212-235, January.
    4. Jean-Marc Bottazzi & Jaime Luque & Mário R. Páscoa, 2012. "Securities market theory: Possession, repo and rehypothecation," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01648216, HAL.
    5. Jean-Marc Bottazzi & Jaime Luque & Mário Páscoa, 2012. "Securities market theory: Possession, repo and rehypothecation," Post-Print hal-00665629, HAL.
    6. Duffie, Darrell, 1996. "Special Repo Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(2), pages 493-526, June.
    7. Loriano Mancini & Angelo Ranaldo & Jan Wrampelmeyer, 2016. "The Euro Interbank Repo Market," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(7), pages 1747-1779.
    8. Bech, Morten L. & Klee, Elizabeth, 2011. "The mechanics of a graceful exit: Interest on reserves and segmentation in the federal funds market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(5), pages 415-431.
    9. Jean-Marc Bottazzi & Jaime Luque & Mário Páscoa, 2012. "Securities market theory: Possession, repo and rehypothecation," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-00665629, HAL.
    10. Hudepohl, Tom & van Lamoen, Ryan & de Vette, Nander, 2021. "Quantitative easing and exuberance in stock markets: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    11. Corradin, Stefano & Maddaloni, Angela, 2020. "The importance of being special: Repo markets during the crisis," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 392-429.
    12. D’Amico, Stefania & Fan, Roger & Kitsul, Yuriy, 2018. "The Scarcity Value of Treasury Collateral: Repo-Market Effects of Security-Specific Supply and Demand Factors," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(5), pages 2103-2129, October.
    13. Jordan, Bradford D & Jordan, Susan D, 1997. "Special Repo Rates: An Empirical Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(5), pages 2051-2072, December.
    14. Jean-Marc Bottazzi & Jaime Luque & Mário R. Páscoa, 2012. "Securities market theory: Possession, repo and rehypothecation," Post-Print hal-01648216, HAL.
    15. Jonathan Chiu & Jens Eisenschmidt & Cyril Monnet, 2020. "Relationships in the Interbank Market," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 35, pages 170-191, January.
    16. Jean-Marc Bottazzi & Jaime Luque & Mário R. Páscoa, 2012. "Securities market theory: Possession, repo and rehypothecation," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-01648216, HAL.
    17. Buraschi, Andrea & Menini, Davide, 2002. "Liquidity risk and specialness," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 243-284, May.
    18. Arrata, William & Nguyen, Benoît & Rahmouni-Rousseau, Imène & Vari, Miklos, 2020. "The scarcity effect of QE on repo rates: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 837-856.
    19. Patrick Schaffner & Angelo Ranaldo & Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2019. "Euro repo market functioning: collateral is king," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    20. Altavilla, Carlo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Linzert, Tobias & Tapking, Jens & von Landesberger, Julian, 2021. "Assessing the efficacy, efficiency and potential side effects of the ECB’s monetary policy instruments since 2014," Occasional Paper Series 278, European Central Bank.
    21. Krishnamurthy, Arvind, 2002. "The bond/old-bond spread," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(2-3), pages 463-506.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Baltzer, Markus & Schlepper, Kathi & Speck, Christian, 2022. "The Eurosystem's asset purchase programmes, securities lending and Bund specialness," Discussion Papers 39/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carrera de Souza, Tomás & Hudepohl, Tom, 2024. "Frictions in scaling up central bank balance sheet policies: How Eurosystem asset purchases impact the repo market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Arrata, William & Nguyen, Benoît & Rahmouni-Rousseau, Imène & Vari, Miklos, 2020. "The scarcity effect of QE on repo rates: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(3), pages 837-856.
    3. Eisenschmidt, Jens & Ma, Yiming & Zhang, Anthony Lee, 2024. "Monetary policy transmission in segmented markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. William Arrata & Benoit Nguyen & Imene Rahmouni-Rousseau & Miklos Vari, 2018. "The Scarcity Effect of Quantitative Easing on Repo Rates: Evidence from the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2018/258, International Monetary Fund.
    5. W. Arrata & B. Nguyen & I. Rahmouni-Rousseau & M. Vari, 2017. "Eurosystem’s asset purchases and money market rates," Working papers 652, Banque de France.
    6. Piero Gottardi & Vincent Maurin & Cyril Monnet, 2019. "A theory of repurchase agreements, collateral re-use, and repo intermediation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 33, pages 30-56, July.
    7. Piero Gottardi & Vincent Maurin & Cyril Monnet, 2019. "A theory of repurchase agreements, collateral re-use, and repo intermediation," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 33, pages 30-56, July.
    8. Luque, Jaime, 2022. "The repo channel of cross-border lending in the European sovereign debt crisis," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 59(PA).
    9. Huh, Yesol & Infante, Sebastian, 2021. "Bond market intermediation and the Role of Repo," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    10. Benedikt Ballensiefen & Angelo Ranaldo, 2023. "Safe Asset Carry Trade," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(2), pages 223-265.
    11. Yu Awaya & Hiroki Fukai & Makoto Watanabe, 2021. "A Model Of Collateral: Endogenizing The Borrowing Constraint," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(3), pages 1131-1151, August.
    12. Lucas Marc Fuhrer & Basil Guggenheim & Silvio Schumacher, 2016. "Re‐Use of Collateral in the Repo Market," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1169-1193, September.
    13. Jun Kyung Auh & Mattia Landoni, 2022. "Loan Terms and Collateral: Evidence from the Bilateral Repo Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(6), pages 2997-3036, December.
    14. Feixue Gong & Gregory Phelan, 2023. "Collateral constraints, tranching, and price bases," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 75(2), pages 317-340, February.
    15. Piero Gottardi & Vincent Maurin & Cyril Monnet, 2023. "Fragility of Secured Credit Chains," Diskussionsschriften dp2304, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
    16. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2b7q60gmqo82aqr0p34bieidke is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Tobe, Reiko & Uno, Jun, 2024. "Central bank asset purchases and lending: Impact on search frictions," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    18. Luu, Duc Thi & Napoletano, Mauro & Barucca, Paolo & Battiston, Stefano, 2021. "Collateral Unchained: Rehypothecation networks, concentration and systemic effects," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    19. Sebastian Infante, 2015. "Liquidity Windfalls: The Consequences of Repo Rehypothecation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-22, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    20. Minh-Quan Nguyen & Nhat-Tan Le & Khuong Nguyen-An & Duc-Thi Luu, 2024. "An Integral Equation Approach for the Valuation of Finite-maturity margin-call Stock Loans," Papers 2407.14728, arXiv.org.
    21. Johannes Brumm & Michael Grill & Felix Kubler & Karl Schmedders, 2023. "Re-use of collateral: Leverage, volatility, and welfare," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 19-46, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset purchases; Unconventional monetary policy; Money Market; Repo Market; Specialness;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:745. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: DNB (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dnbgvnl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.