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Entwicklung der Kriminalitätseinstellungen in Deutschland: eine Zeitreihenanalyse anhand allgemeiner Bevölkerungsumfragen

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  • Jörg Dittmann

Abstract

Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird die Entwicklung in den Kriminalitätseinstellungen in Deutschland seit den 70er Jahren anhand allgemeiner Bevölkerungsumfragen nachgezeichnet. Entgegen der weit verbreiteten Meinung zeigen die Sekundäranalysen insgesamt einen besonders seit Mitte der 90er Jahre zu beobachtenden Bedeutungsrückgang hinsichtlich verschiedener Einschätzungen zur Kriminalität. Zudem liegen sowohl die Furcht vor Kriminalität als auch die Wahrnehmung von persönlichen Kriminalitätsrisiken in Deutschland derzeit unter dem europäischen Durchschnitt. Neben der methodischen und theoretischen Einordnung der in der Kriminalitätsfurcht-Forschung untersuchten Aspekte und der Darstellung der wichtigsten Umfrageergebnisse werden Veränderungen in den Kriminalitätseinstellungen insbesondere anhand von Auswertungen des Sozio-oekonomischen Panels (SOEP) zu erklären versucht. Insgesamt legen die Auswertungen der SOEP-Daten den Schluss nahe, dass es in den letzten Jahren zu Bedeutungsverschiebungen in der Wahrnehmung sozialer Probleme, wie Arbeitslosigkeit, Krieg und Kriminalität, gekommen ist.

Suggested Citation

  • Jörg Dittmann, 2005. "Entwicklung der Kriminalitätseinstellungen in Deutschland: eine Zeitreihenanalyse anhand allgemeiner Bevölkerungsumfragen," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 468, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp468
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    1. Jürgen Schupp & Gert G. Wagner, 2002. "Maintenance of and Innovation in Long-Term Panel Studies: The Case of the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP)," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 276, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Kuttschreuter, Margot & Wiegman, Oene, 1998. "Crime prevention and the attitude toward the criminal justice system: The effects of a multimedia campaign," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 441-452, November.
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    1. Eva M. Berger, 2008. "A Note on the High Stability of Happiness: The Minimal Effects of a Nuclear Catastrophe on Life Satisfaction," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 803, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Mathias Bug & Eric van Um, 2014. "Herausforderungen bei der Messung von Kriminalitätsfurcht," DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus 49, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

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