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Foreign Currency Borrowing: The Case of Hungary

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  • Gábor Pellényi
  • Péter Bilek

Abstract

We use household survey data from Hungary to analyse the determinants of foreign currency (FX) borrowing. We do not find evidence that Hungarian FX borrowers are better educated, wealthier or more risk-loving than their peers. In fact, FX borrowing is a common phenomenon driven mostly by macroeconomic factors: high interest rate spreads, a relatively stable exchange rate and the competition of foreign owned banks. Although FX borrowing is widespread, our analysis suggests that loan losses directly attributed to it may be limited, given currency fluctuations up to autumn 2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Gábor Pellényi & Péter Bilek, 2009. "Foreign Currency Borrowing: The Case of Hungary," Working Paper / FINESS 5.4, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwfin:diwfin5.4
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    Cited by:

    1. Dzsamila Vonnak, 2015. "Decomposing the Riskiness of Corporate Foreign Currency Lending: the Case of Hungary," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1528, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    2. Aiba, Daiju & Odajima, Ken & Khou, Vouthy, 2017. "Foreign Currency Borrowing and Risk-Hedging Behavior: Evidence from a Household Survey in Cambodia," Working Papers 143, JICA Research Institute.
    3. Rona-Tas, Akos & Guseva, Alya, 2013. "Information and consumer credit in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 420-435.
    4. Gyöngyösi, Győző & Rariga, Judit & Verner, Emil, 2021. "The anatomy of consumption in a household foreign currency debt crisis," SAFE Working Paper Series 332, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    5. Baldursson, Fridrik Mar & Portes, Richard, 2013. "Gambling for resurrection in Iceland: the rise and fall of the banks," CEPR Discussion Papers 9664, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Elisabeth Beckmann, 2017. "How does foreign currency debt relief affect households’ loan demand? Evidence from the OeNB Euro Survey in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 8-32.
    7. Świerczyńska Marta & Węglińska Mariola, 2017. "The attractiveness of FX housing loans for housholds in view of supervisory actions in selected EU countries," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 13(4), pages 37-53, December.
    8. Sung C. Bae & Hyeon Sook Kim & Taek Ho Kwon, 2020. "Foreign currency borrowing surrounding the global financial crisis: Evidence from Korea," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(5-6), pages 786-817, May.
    9. Szabolcs Szikszai & Tamás Badics & Csilla Raffai & Zsolt Stenger & András Tóthmihály, 2013. "Studies in Financial Systems No 8 Hungary," FESSUD studies fstudy08, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
    10. Nikita Céspedes Reynaga, 2017. "La demanda de crédito a nivel de personas: RCC conoce a ENAHO," Working Papers 107, Peruvian Economic Association.
    11. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Hake, Mariya & Stix, Helmut, 2013. "Households’ foreign currency borrowing in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1880-1897.
    12. Aiba, Daiju & Odajima, Ken & Khou, Vouthy, 2018. "Foreign currency borrowing and risk-hedging behavior: Evidence from Cambodian households," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 19-35.
    13. Juan‐Sebastian Corrales & Patrick Amir Imam, 2021. "Financial dollarization of households and firms: How does it differ by level of economic development?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 927-978, September.
    14. Céspedes, Nikita, 2018. "La heterogeneidad de la dolarización de créditos a nivel de personas," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 35, pages 9-28.
    15. Judit Temesváry, 2014. "Explaining the Differences between Local Currency versus FX-denominated Loans and Deposits in the Central-Eastern European Economies," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1405, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    16. Piotr Białowolski & Dorota Węziak-Białowolska, 2017. "What Does a Swiss Franc Mortgage Cost? The Tale of Polish Trust for Foreign Currency Denominated Mortgages: Implications for Well-Being and Health," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 285-301, August.
    17. ODAJIMA, Ken & 小田島, 健, 2016. "Foreign Currency Usage and Perception: Evidence from a Survey on Cambodian Households," Discussion Papers 2016-11, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
    18. Beckmann, Elisabeth & Stix, Helmut, 2015. "Foreign currency borrowing and knowledge about exchange rate risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1-16.
    19. Patrick Amir Imam, 2022. "De‐dollarization in Zimbabwe: What lessons can be learned from other sub‐Saharan countries?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 770-801, January.
    20. Beer, Christian & Ongena, Steven & Peter, Marcel, 2010. "Borrowing in foreign currency: Austrian households as carry traders," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(9), pages 2198-2211, September.
    21. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:171:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. A. Bethlendi, 2011. "Policy measures and failures on foreign currency household lending in central and eastern Europe," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 61(2), pages 193-223, June.
    23. Mr. Juan S Corrales & Patrick A. Imam, 2019. "Financial Dollarization of Households and Firms: Does It Differ?," IMF Working Papers 2019/019, International Monetary Fund.
    24. Nikita Céspedes Reynaga, 2018. "La demanda de crédito de las personas: el RCC conoce a la ENAHO," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 109-150, enero-jun.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign currency borrowing; households; survey data; liability dollarization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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