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Divorce risks of Swedish women in first marriages: two cohorts born in 1950 and 1960

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  • Guiping Liu

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

Abstract

In this paper, we study first-marriage divorce risks in two cohorts of Swedish women, namely, those born in 1950 and 1960. We develop a hazard model with a piecewise-linear baseline log-hazard. First, we run the model without unobserved heterogeneity and second, we run the model with such a term. We have found a divorce pattern for Swedish women similar to what other researchers have found. Facilitated by having both cohort data and efficient software (aML), we were able to get a clear picture of the timing pattern of first marital dissolution risks. Our 1950 cohort model without unobserved heterogeneity does not produce any biased results; our 1960 cohort model with no unobserved heterogeneity overestimates the baseline hazard and evidently underestimates some of the coefficients.

Suggested Citation

  • Guiping Liu, 2002. "Divorce risks of Swedish women in first marriages: two cohorts born in 1950 and 1960," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2002-012, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2002-012
    DOI: 10.4054/MPIDR-WP-2002-012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Annette Erlangsen & Gunnar Andersson, 2001. "The impact of children on divorce risks in first and later marriages," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2001-033, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    2. Lee Lillard & Linda Waite, 1993. "A joint model of marital childbearing and marital disruption," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 30(4), pages 653-681, November.
    3. Gunnar Andersson, 1997. "The Impact of Children on Divorce Risks of Swedish Women," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 13(2), pages 109-145, June.
    4. Becker, Gary S & Landes, Elisabeth M & Michael, Robert T, 1977. "An Economic Analysis of Marital Instability," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(6), pages 1141-1187, December.
    5. Lee Lillard & Michael Brien & Linda Waite, 1995. "Premarital cohabitation and subsequent marital," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 32(3), pages 437-457, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guiping Liu, 2002. "How premarital children and childbearing in current marriage influence divorce of Swedish women in their first marriages," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 7(10), pages 389-406.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sweden; cohorts; divorce;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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