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Expansions for Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimators of the Fractional Difference Parameter

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Abstract

This paper derives second-order expansions for the distributions of the Whittle and profile plug-in maximum likelihood estimators of the fractional difference parameter in the ARFIMA(0,d,0) with unknown mean and variance. Both estimators are shown to be second-order pivotal. This extends earlier findings of Lieberman and Phillips (2001), who derived expansions for the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator under the assumption that the mean and variance are known. One implication of the results is that the parametric bootstrap upper one-sided confidence interval provides an o(n^{-1}ln n) improvement over the delta method. For statistics that are not second-order pivotal, the improvement is generally only of the order o(n^{-1/2}ln n).

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  • Offer Lieberman & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2004. "Expansions for Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimators of the Fractional Difference Parameter," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1474, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1474
    Note: CFP 1157.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lieberman, Offer & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2008. "A complete asymptotic series for the autocovariance function of a long memory process," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 99-103, November.
    2. Offer Lieberman & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2004. "Error bounds and asymptotic expansions for toeplitz product functionals of unbounded spectra," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 733-753, September.
    3. Gao, Jiti, 2007. "Nonlinear time series: semiparametric and nonparametric methods," MPRA Paper 39563, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Sep 2007.
    4. Shapour Mohammadi & Ahmad Pouyanfar, 2011. "Behaviour of stock markets' memories," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(3), pages 183-194.
    5. Poskitt, D.S. & Grose, Simone D. & Martin, Gael M., 2015. "Higher-order improvements of the sieve bootstrap for fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 188(1), pages 94-110.
    6. Offer Lieberman & Peter Phillips, 2008. "Refined Inference on Long Memory in Realized Volatility," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1-3), pages 254-267.
    7. Mustafa R. K{i}l{i}nc{c} & Michael Massmann, 2024. "The modified conditional sum-of-squares estimator for fractionally integrated models," Papers 2404.12882, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bootstrap; Edgeworth expansion; Fractional differencing; Pivotal statistic;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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