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Social Protection, Poverty and the Post-2015 Agenda

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  • Kanbur, Ravi
  • Yemtsov, Ruslan
  • Fiszbein, Ariel

Abstract

Social Protection is absent from the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), and only recently has gained some prominence in the post-2015 discourse. In the past quarter century, however, rising inequality has often accompanied economic growth. At the same time, the growing importance of risk and vulnerability on the wellbeing of the poor has been recognized. Further, there is now a consensus on adopting more ambitious goals on poverty reduction. Defining social protection as a collection of programs that address risk, vulnerability, inequality and poverty through a system of transfers in cash or in kind, this paper argues that social protection needs to be on the post-2015 agenda as a key element of the discourse. It provides an empirical overview of social protection around the world based on the World Bank?s ASPIRE data set. Focusing on the goal of ending poverty, the paper estimates that social protection programs are currently preventing 150 million people from falling into poverty. Based on the ASPIRE data set, this paper develops, tentatively and for discussion, a set of candidate goals, indicators and targets for the acceleration of poverty reduction through social protection. We ask what it would take for social protection programs to contribute to halving the poverty gap in a country. We show that if all countries could achieve the actual poverty reduction efficiency already observed in the top quartile of countries, then 70 percent of the countries in our sample could achieve this goal. However, for 30 percent of the countries even reaching the top quartile on efficiency will not be enough?for these countries the issue is one of budgetary adequacy.

Suggested Citation

  • Kanbur, Ravi & Yemtsov, Ruslan & Fiszbein, Ariel, 2013. "Social Protection, Poverty and the Post-2015 Agenda," CEPR Discussion Papers 9561, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9561
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    Cited by:

    1. Ganga Tilakaratna, 2014. "Social Protection and MDGs in Sri Lanka: Implications for the Post-2015 Agenda," Southern Voice Occasional Paper 12, Southern Voice.
    2. Fiszbein, Ariel & Kanbur, Ravi & Yemtsov, Ruslan, 2014. "Social Protection and Poverty Reduction: Global Patterns and Some Targets," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 167-177.
    3. Oscar Barriga Cabanillas & Maria Ana Lugo & Carlos Rodríguez-Castelan & Hannah Nielsen & Maria Pia Zanetti, 2015. "Is Uruguay More Resilient This Time? Distributional Impacts of a Crisis Similar to the 2001–02 Argentine Crisis," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(4), pages 64-90, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Milennium development goals; Poverty; Social protection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • I39 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Other
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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