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Learning From Stock Prices and Economic Growth

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  • Peress, Joël

Abstract

A competitive stock market is embedded into a neoclassical growth economy to analyze the interplay between the acquisition of information about firms, its partial revelation through stock prices, capital allocation and income. The stock market allows investors to share their costly private signals in a cost-effective incentive-compatible way. It contributes to economic growth by raising total factor productivity, but its impact is only transitory. Several predictions on the evolution of real and financial variables are derived, including capital efficiency, total factor productivity, industrial specialization, wealth inequality, stock trading intensity, liquidity and return volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Peress, Joël, 2011. "Learning From Stock Prices and Economic Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 8569, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8569
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    Cited by:

    1. Dierkes, Maik & Germer, Stephan & Sejdiu, Vulnet, 2020. "Probability distortion, asset prices, and economic growth," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Rahi, Rohit & Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, 2018. "Information acquisition, price informativeness, and welfare," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 558-593.
    3. Yang, Fan, 2019. "The impact of financial development on economic growth in middle-income countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 74-89.
    4. Aviral K. Tiwari & Claudiu T. Albulescu & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Time-frequency relationship between US output with commodity and asset prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 227-242, January.
    5. Peress, Joel & Schmidt, Daniel, 2021. "Noise traders incarnate: Describing a realistic noise trading process," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Rahi, Rohit & Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, 2018. "Information acquisition, price informativeness and welfare," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118935, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; Financial development; stock market; Capital allocation; Learning; Asymmetric information; Noisy rational expectations equilibrium;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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