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A Chaotic Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate

Author

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  • De Grauwe, Paul
  • Dewachter, Hans

Abstract

We use a monetary (Dornbusch) model of the exchange rate and introduce speculative dynamics, in which fundamentalists and chartists interact. The resulting non-linearities in the model produce `chaotic' behaviour of the exchange rate. We also analyse the effects of money-stock surprises in such a model. Finally, we study the behaviour of the exchange rate when `news' occurs infrequently.

Suggested Citation

  • De Grauwe, Paul & Dewachter, Hans, 1990. "A Chaotic Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate," CEPR Discussion Papers 466, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:466
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    Cited by:

    1. Jeffrey Frankel., 1995. "How Well Do Foreign Exchange Markets Function: Might a Tobin Tax Help?," Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers C95-058, University of California at Berkeley.
    2. Yin-Wong Cheung & Menzie D. Chinn & Ian W. Marsh, 2004. "How do UK-based foreign exchange dealers think their market operates?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(4), pages 289-306.
    3. David Peel & Alan Speight, 1994. "Testing for non-linear dependence in inter-war exchange rates," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 130(2), pages 391-417, June.
    4. Jeffrey A. Frankel & Andrew K. Rose, 1994. "A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates," NBER Working Papers 4865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/5285 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Wan, Jer-Yuh & Kao, Chung-Wei, 2009. "Evidence on the contrarian trading in foreign exchange markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1420-1431, November.
    7. Antoine Bouveret & Henri Sterdyniak, 2005. "Les modèles de taux de change," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01071965, HAL.
    8. Daniela Federici & Giancarlo Gandolfo, 2011. "The Euro/Dollar Exchange Rate: Chaotic or Non-Chaotic?," CESifo Working Paper Series 3420, CESifo.
    9. Daniela Federici & Giancarlo Gandolfo, 2001. "Chaos and the exchange rate," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 111-142.
    10. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/5285 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/5285 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Jean-Pierre Allegret, 2007. "«Quels régimes de change pour les marchés émergents ? Les solutions de coins en questions»," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 54(4), pages 397-427.
    13. Jean-Pierre Allegret, 2007. "Which Currency Exchange Regime for Emerging Markets? Corner Solutions under Question," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 54(4), pages 397-427, December.
    14. Federici, Daniela & Gandolfo, Giancarlo, 2012. "The Euro/Dollar exchange rate: Chaotic or non-chaotic? A continuous time model with heterogeneous beliefs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 670-681.
    15. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5285 is not listed on IDEAS

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