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Import Surveillance as a Strategic Trade Policy

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  • Winters, L. Alan

Abstract

The EC policy of import surveillance entails the public announcement that henceforth the Commission will collect detailed statistics on particular import flows. The imposition of surveillance, it is argued, will change exporters' perceptions about the probabilities of future import controls. When it anticipates future restrictions, a competitive export industry is likely to increase sales as each firm tries to gain a higher share of any future quota, but an oligopolistic industry may well curtail exports in the hope of avoiding further, more restrictive policy. This paper tests these hypotheses on EC import data and finds them largely supported. It argues that this result constitutes evidence of strategic behaviour.

Suggested Citation

  • Winters, L. Alan, 1990. "Import Surveillance as a Strategic Trade Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 404, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:404
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    Cited by:

    1. Schuknecht, Ludger & Stephan, Joerg, 1994. "EC Trade Protection Law: Produmping or Antidumping?," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 80(1-2), pages 143-156, July.
    2. Reimer, Jeffrey J. & Stiegert, Kyle W., 2006. "Evidence on Imperfect Competition and Strategic Trade Theory," Staff Paper Series 498, University of Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    3. Rodrik, Dani, 1994. "What does the Political Economy Literature on Trade Policy (Not) Tell Us That We Ought to Know?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1039, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6629 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Spinanger, Dean & Francois, Joseph F. & Glismann, Hans H., 2000. "The Cost of EU Trade Protection in Textiles and Clothing," Kiel Working Papers 997, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).

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